Might want to temper your enthusiasm in the wake of the market's sharp rebound off Tuesday's historic beating.
According to Bank of America Merrill Lynch strategists, 68% of the indicators they use to predict a looming bear market have been triggered. Some of the notable culprits: a Federal Reserve that is raising interest rates, a stock market that has pulled back 5% within the last twelve months and a rise in the VIX volatility index over the past three months.
For the optimistic investor bunch, BofA does offer two inspirational tidbits.
First, historically 80% of the indicators they track have had to be triggered as to suggest a market peak. And secondarily, prolonged stock market plunges are not the norm.
"10% corrections have occurred one time per year on average, most recently in the first quarter of 2016, and 15% pullbacks have occurred once every two years (most recently in Aug. 2011)," points out equities strategists at Bank of America Merrill Lynch.
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