Data captured by IHS Conflict Monitor showed a decline in Islamic State chemical weapon attacks prior to the offensive. "Mosul was at the centre of the Islamic State's chemical weapons production," Strack said. "But most of the equipment and experts were probably evacuated to Syria in the weeks and months leading up to the Mosul offensive, along with convoys of other senior members and their families."Re-capture of Mosul would be symbolic and financial loss to Islamic State "The eventual loss of the city will have a significant financial impact on the Islamic State, not to mention the huge symbolism of losing Mosul," Strack said. "The group will lose access to tax and other revenues generated from the remaining population of around 1 million people, the largest city they have captured. This type of income has been more significant than oil for the Islamic State's revenue." However, Mosul remains far less significant for the Islamic State strategically than areas it still controls in eastern Syria - the core of the Caliphate along the Euphrates river and its capital Raqqa. "As we enter 2017, the Islamic State's governance project is likely to be gradually pushed back into eastern Syria, where it will concentrate its forces in the Euphrates river valley between Raqqa and the Iraqi border at al-Qaim," Strack said. About the IHS Conflict Monitor The IHS Conflict Monitor is an open-source intelligence collection and analysis service, which includes unrivalled data coverage of the conflict in Iraq and Syria, weekly control maps, as well as in-depth quantitative and qualitative analysis by IHS Jane's security experts. To learn more and for a free trial please visit https://www.ihs.com/Info/0216/conflict-monitor.html About IHS Markit ( www.ihsmarkit.com) IHS Markit (Nasdaq: INFO) is a world leader in critical information, analytics and solutions for the major industries and markets that drive economies worldwide. The company delivers next-generation information, analytics and solutions to customers in business, finance and government, improving their operational efficiency and providing deep insights that lead to well-informed, confident decisions. IHS Markit has more than 50,000 key business and government customers, including 85 percent of the Fortune Global 500 and the world's leading financial institutions. Headquartered in London, IHS Markit is committed to sustainable, profitable growth.
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