Analysts Anticipate 24% Upside For PBW

Looking at the underlying holdings of the ETFs in our coverage universe at ETF Channel, we have compared the trading price of each holding against the average analyst 12-month forward target price, and computed the weighted average implied analyst target price for the ETF itself. For the PowerShares WilderHill Clean Energy Portfolio ETF (PBW), we found that the implied analyst target price for the ETF based upon its underlying holdings is $4.55 per unit.

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With PBW trading at a recent price near $3.67 per unit, that means that analysts see 23.89% upside for this ETF looking through to the average analyst targets of the underlying holdings. Three of PBW's underlying holdings with notable upside to their analyst target prices are Sky Solar Holdings Ltd ( SKYS), SunPower Corp ( SPWR), and Hanwha Q CELLS Co Ltd ( HQCL). Although SKYS has traded at a recent price of $2.48/share, the average analyst target is 162.10% higher at $6.50/share. Similarly, SPWR has 94.61% upside from the recent share price of $6.79 if the average analyst target price of $13.21/share is reached, and analysts on average are expecting HQCL to reach a target price of $13.00/share, which is 45.41% above the recent price of $8.94. Below is a twelve month price history chart comparing the stock performance of SKYS, SPWR, and HQCL:

SKYS, SPWR, and HQCL Relative Performance Chart

Combined, SKYS, SPWR, and HQCL represent 6.29% of the PowerShares WilderHill Clean Energy Portfolio ETF. Below is a summary table of the current analyst target prices discussed above:

Name Symbol Recent Price Avg. Analyst 12-Mo. Target % Upside to Target
PowerShares WilderHill Clean Energy Portfolio ETF PBW $3.67 $4.55 23.89%
Sky Solar Holdings Ltd SKYS $2.48 $6.50 162.10%
SunPower Corp SPWR $6.79 $13.21 94.61%
Hanwha Q CELLS Co Ltd HQCL $8.94 $13.00 45.41%

Are analysts justified in these targets, or overly optimistic about where these stocks will be trading 12 months from now? Do the analysts have a valid justification for their targets, or are they behind the curve on recent company and industry developments? A high price target relative to a stock's trading price can reflect optimism about the future, but can also be a precursor to target price downgrades if the targets were a relic of the past. These are questions that require further investor research.

The average analyst target price data upon which this article was based, is courtesy of data provided by Zacks Investment Research via Quandl.com.
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