The New York-based bank adjusted its rate hike target to December from a previous projection of September following this week's meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee, but September was never what Goldman thought would be the right time.
"Our new call moves our forecast for what the FOMC will do closer to our long-standing view of what the FOMC should do, in light of risk management considerations," Jan Hatzius, chief economist of Goldman Sachs, wrote in a report.
To support the bank's September projection, Hatzius' team needed to see the Fed lay groundwork for the move after this week's meeting. Instead, the bank noted several signals that a September liftoff was off the table, and many of the cited concerns were ones Goldman Sachs had addressed previously.
Seven out of seventeen meeting participants anticipated no more than one rate increase in 2015 and said there might be none, for example. That's an increase from March, when only three participants thought there would be no rate hikes this year. Goldman Sachs believes that Fed Chair Janet Yellen is one of the members of the group of seven.
During a press conference following the two-day meeting, Yellen said there was too much focus on the timing of a rate hike instead of the mechanics of one. Recent economic data has not offered sufficient support for a rate hike, Yellen said, calling for "more decisive evidence that a moderate pace of economic growth will be sustained."