What To Hold: 3 Hold-Rated Dividend Stocks ABR, CPG, TNH

Editor's Note: Any reference to TheStreet Ratings and its underlying recommendation does not reflect the opinion of TheStreet, Inc. or any of its contributors including Jim Cramer

TheStreet Ratings' stock model projects a stock's total return potential over a 12-month period including both price appreciation and dividends. Our Buy, Hold or Sell ratings designate how we expect these stocks to perform against a general benchmark of the equities market and interest rates.

While plenty of high-yield opportunities exist, investors must always consider the safety of their dividend and the total return potential of their investment. It is not uncommon for a struggling company to suspend high-yielding dividends which could subsequently result in precipitous share price declines.

TheStreet Ratings' stock rating model views dividends favorably, but not so much that other factors are disregarded. Our model gauges the relationship between risk and reward in several ways, including: the pricing drawdown as compared to potential profit volatility, i.e. how much one is willing to risk in order to earn profits?; the level of acceptable volatility for highly performing stocks; the current valuation as compared to projected earnings growth; and the financial strength of the underlying company as compared to its stock's valuation as compared to its stock's performance.

These and many more derived observations are then combined, ranked, weighted, and scenario-tested to create a more complete analysis. The result is a systematic and disciplined method of selecting stocks. As always, stock ratings should not be treated as gospel — rather, use them as a starting point for your own research.

The following pages contain our analysis of 3 stocks with substantial yields, that ultimately, we have rated "Hold."

Arbor Realty

Dividend Yield: 8.70%

Arbor Realty (NYSE: ABR) shares currently have a dividend yield of 8.70%.

Arbor Realty Trust, Inc., a specialized real estate finance company, invests in various structured finance investments. The company has a P/E ratio of 3.66.

The average volume for Arbor Realty has been 253,800 shares per day over the past 30 days. Arbor Realty has a market cap of $350.5 million and is part of the real estate industry. Shares are up 1.3% year-to-date as of the close of trading on Tuesday.

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TheStreet Ratings rates Arbor Realty as a hold. The company's strengths can be seen in multiple areas, such as its revenue growth, notable return on equity and attractive valuation levels. However, as a counter to these strengths, we also find weaknesses including weak operating cash flow and a generally disappointing performance in the stock itself.

Highlights from the ratings report include:
  • ABR's revenue growth has slightly outpaced the industry average of 8.5%. Since the same quarter one year prior, revenues rose by 10.6%. Growth in the company's revenue appears to have helped boost the earnings per share.
  • The company's current return on equity greatly increased when compared to its ROE from the same quarter one year prior. This is a signal of significant strength within the corporation. Compared to other companies in the Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) industry and the overall market, ARBOR REALTY TRUST INC's return on equity exceeds that of both the industry average and the S&P 500.
  • ARBOR REALTY TRUST INC reported significant earnings per share improvement in the most recent quarter compared to the same quarter a year ago. The company has demonstrated a pattern of positive earnings per share growth over the past two years. However, we anticipate underperformance relative to this pattern in the coming year. During the past fiscal year, ARBOR REALTY TRUST INC increased its bottom line by earning $1.71 versus $0.41 in the prior year. For the next year, the market is expecting a contraction of 57.9% in earnings ($0.72 versus $1.71).
  • In its most recent trading session, ABR has closed at a price level that was not very different from its closing price of one year earlier. This is probably due to its weak earnings growth as well as other mixed factors. The fact that the stock is now selling for less than others in its industry in relation to its current earnings is not reason enough to justify a buy rating at this time.
  • Net operating cash flow has significantly decreased to $2.27 million or 50.31% when compared to the same quarter last year. In addition, when comparing to the industry average, the firm's growth rate is much lower.

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Crescent Point Energy

Dividend Yield: 10.40%

Crescent Point Energy (NYSE: CPG) shares currently have a dividend yield of 10.40%.

Crescent Point Energy Corp. acquires, explores, develops, and produces oil and natural gas properties in Western Canada and the United States. The company has a P/E ratio of 26.07.

The average volume for Crescent Point Energy has been 334,900 shares per day over the past 30 days. Crescent Point Energy has a market cap of $9.6 billion and is part of the energy industry. Shares are down 5.1% year-to-date as of the close of trading on Tuesday.

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TheStreet Ratings rates Crescent Point Energy as a hold. The company's strengths can be seen in multiple areas, such as its revenue growth, largely solid financial position with reasonable debt levels by most measures and expanding profit margins. However, as a counter to these strengths, we also find weaknesses including unimpressive growth in net income, weak operating cash flow and a generally disappointing performance in the stock itself.

Highlights from the ratings report include:
  • The revenue growth greatly exceeded the industry average of 38.5%. Since the same quarter one year prior, revenues rose by 11.1%. This growth in revenue does not appear to have trickled down to the company's bottom line, displayed by a decline in earnings per share.
  • The current debt-to-equity ratio, 0.36, is low and is below the industry average, implying that there has been successful management of debt levels. Despite the fact that CPG's debt-to-equity ratio is low, the quick ratio, which is currently 0.51, displays a potential problem in covering short-term cash needs.
  • CRESCENT POINT ENERGY CORP has experienced a steep decline in earnings per share in the most recent quarter in comparison to its performance from the same quarter a year ago. This company has not demonstrated a clear trend in earnings over the past 2 years, making it difficult to accurately predict earnings for the coming year. During the past fiscal year, CRESCENT POINT ENERGY CORP increased its bottom line by earning $1.19 versus $0.38 in the prior year.
  • Despite any intermediate fluctuations, we have only bad news to report on this stock's performance over the last year: it has tumbled by 46.22%, worse than the S&P 500's performance. Consistent with the plunge in the stock price, the company's earnings per share are down 225.00% compared to the year-earlier quarter. Turning toward the future, the fact that the stock has come down in price over the past year should not necessarily be interpreted as a negative; it could be one of the factors that may help make the stock attractive down the road. Right now, however, we believe that it is too soon to buy.
  • The company, on the basis of change in net income from the same quarter one year ago, has significantly underperformed when compared to that of the S&P 500 and the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. The net income has significantly decreased by 249.1% when compared to the same quarter one year ago, falling from $30.89 million to -$46.06 million.

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Terra Nitrogen

Dividend Yield: 7.10%

Terra Nitrogen (NYSE: TNH) shares currently have a dividend yield of 7.10%.

Terra Nitrogen Company, L.P. produces nitrogen fertilizer products in the United States. It primarily offers anhydrous ammonia and urea ammonium nitrate solutions for farmers to improve the yield and quality of their crops. Terra Nitrogen GP Inc. serves as the general partner of the company. The company has a P/E ratio of 10.77.

The average volume for Terra Nitrogen has been 22,700 shares per day over the past 30 days. Terra Nitrogen has a market cap of $2.2 billion and is part of the chemicals industry. Shares are up 14.8% year-to-date as of the close of trading on Tuesday.

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TheStreet Ratings rates Terra Nitrogen as a hold. The company's strengths can be seen in multiple areas, such as its largely solid financial position with reasonable debt levels by most measures, expanding profit margins and notable return on equity. However, as a counter to these strengths, we also find weaknesses including feeble growth in the company's earnings per share, deteriorating net income and weak operating cash flow.

Highlights from the ratings report include:
  • TNH has no debt to speak of therefore resulting in a debt-to-equity ratio of zero, which we consider to be a relatively favorable sign. To add to this, TNH has a quick ratio of 1.61, which demonstrates the ability of the company to cover short-term liquidity needs.
  • The gross profit margin for TERRA NITROGEN CO -LP is rather high; currently it is at 55.53%. Regardless of TNH's high profit margin, it has managed to decrease from the same period last year. Despite the mixed results of the gross profit margin, TNH's net profit margin of 46.60% significantly outperformed against the industry.
  • TNH, with its decline in revenue, underperformed when compared the industry average of 14.0%. Since the same quarter one year prior, revenues fell by 28.8%. Weakness in the company's revenue seems to have hurt the bottom line, decreasing earnings per share.
  • The company, on the basis of change in net income from the same quarter one year ago, has significantly underperformed against the S&P 500 and did not exceed that of the Chemicals industry. The net income has significantly decreased by 42.7% when compared to the same quarter one year ago, falling from $102.90 million to $59.00 million.
  • Net operating cash flow has decreased to $70.90 million or 36.97% when compared to the same quarter last year. In addition, when comparing to the industry average, the firm's growth rate is much lower.

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