NEW YORK (The Street) -- Shares of Tiffany & Co (TIF) rose more than 11% Wednesday after the New York-based of high-end jeweler posted fiscal first-quarter earnings results that beat analysts' average estimates for both revenue and profits. But investors shouldn't get too carried away just yet.
While Tiffany's first-quarter profit was $104.9 million, or 81 cents a share, did beat estimates, it still marks a 16% decline from a year ago when it earned $124.6 million, or 97 cents a share. The strong dollar weakened revenue, which came in at $962.4 million. Although that was enough to top estimates, it's still down year-over-year by almost 5% from $1.01 billion.
Sure, the company did what it had to do to beat it's targets. But don't ignore that those targets were much lower than where they were several months ago. Because of revenue struggles in markets like the Americas and lack of improvement in traditionally weak areas like Japan, analysts have had no choice but to cut estimates for the just-ended quarter by almost 12%.
What's more, the full-year earnings estimate of $4.17 a share has been lowered by 6.7% just over the past three months. When the quarter began, the average analyst estimate was $4.47 per share. And as for fiscal year 2016, estimates have also been lowered by 6.5%, down from $5.07 a share three months ago to $4.74.
In other words, Tiffany will operate from lowered expectations in the quarters ahead. While that's good for the company and its ability to meet/beat those expectations, it doesn't incite confidence in Tiffany stock -- which is still too expensive, by the way.