10 S&P 500 Companies to Have the Biggest Profit Growth in 2015

NEW YORK (TheStreet) -- Which S&P 500 companies are poised to have the biggest profit growth rates this year?

With first-quarter earnings reports wrapping up with results from retailers this week, S&P Capital IQ, a division of McGraw Hill Financial (MHFI), analyzed annual earnings-per-share estimates for S&P 500 companies with a market capitalization of at least $20 billion to identify those most likely produce the largest year-over-year profit growth in 2015. (The analysis excludes the REIT sub-industry as well as companies with growth driven by one-time items, such as acquisitions, it said.) The earnings-per-share growth percentages are based on overall analysts' consensus earnings estimates for 2015, tallied by S&P Capital IQ.

Five of the top 10 companies are airlines or automobile manufacturers benefitting from lower oil prices, according to the report, issued Monday.

Airlines "have also benefited from industry consolidation, which has reduced competition and capacity, making it easier for airlines to raise fares and increase passenger yields," the report said. "With expected growth of 38.9%, the transportation subsector -- including airlines -- is driving the industrial sector's 6.2% expected growth for 2015."

Auto companies are "benefiting from pent-up vehicle demand given lower oil prices and an elevated average vehicle age of 11.4 years," the report added. "Consumers have also increased their interest in SUVs, which carry higher margins, because of lower oil prices. The consumer discretionary sector is expected to have the third-best growth in 2015 at 11.3% after growth of 10.0% in 2014."

The other companies in the top 10 list either operate in high-growth markets, such as cloud computing and biotech, or are reorganizing "to better address the operating environment and customer needs," the report said.

Check out which companies made the top 10 list of companies expected to produce the largest earnings growth rates in 2015. We paired the companies with ratings from TheStreet Ratings. And when you're done be sure to check out the 10 S&P 500 companies expected to have the most revenue growth this year.

TheStreet Ratings, TheStreet's proprietary ratings tool, projects a stock's total return potential over a 12-month period including both price appreciation and dividends. Based on 32 major data points, TheStreet Ratings uses a quantitative approach to rating over 4,300 stocks to predict return potential for the next year. The model is both objective, using elements such as volatility of past operating revenues, financial strength, and company cash flows, and subjective, including expected equities market returns, future interest rates, implied industry outlook and forecasted company earnings.

Buying an S&P 500 stock that TheStreet Ratings rated a "buy" yielded a 16.56% return in 2014 beating the S&P 500 Total Return Index by 304 basis points. Buying a Russell 2000 stock that TheStreet Ratings rated a "buy" yielded a 9.5% return in 2014, beating the Russell 2000 index, including dividends reinvested, by 460 basis points last year.

Note: Year-to-date returns are based on May 19, 2015 closing prices.

CRM Chart CRM data by YCharts

10. Salesforce.com (CRM)
Market Cap: $46.9 billion
Year-to-date return: 20.5%
2015 Consensus EPS Growth Estimate: 32.21%

S&P Capital IQ Rating/Price Target: Hold/$79 PT

TheStreet Ratings: Hold, C
TheStreet Ratings said:
"We rate SALESFORCE.COM INC (CRM) a HOLD. The primary factors that have impacted our rating are mixed - some indicating strength, some showing weaknesses, with little evidence to justify the expectation of either a positive or negative performance for this stock relative to most other stocks. The company's strengths can be seen in multiple areas, such as its robust revenue growth, solid stock price performance and increase in net income. However, as a counter to these strengths, we find that the company has favored debt over equity in the management of its balance sheet."

Highlights from the analysis by TheStreet Ratings Team goes as follows:

  • The revenue growth came in higher than the industry average of 1.5%. Since the same quarter one year prior, revenues rose by 26.1%. This growth in revenue appears to have trickled down to the company's bottom line, improving the earnings per share.
  • Powered by its strong earnings growth of 47.36% and other important driving factors, this stock has surged by 40.47% over the past year, outperforming the rise in the S&P 500 Index during the same period. Regarding the stock's future course, our hold rating indicates that we do not recommend additional investment in this stock despite its gains in the past year.
  • SALESFORCE.COM INC has improved earnings per share by 47.4% in the most recent quarter compared to the same quarter a year ago. This company has reported somewhat volatile earnings recently. But, we feel it is poised for EPS growth in the coming year. During the past fiscal year, SALESFORCE.COM INC reported poor results of -$0.42 versus -$0.40 in the prior year. This year, the market expects an improvement in earnings ($0.69 versus -$0.42).
  • The return on equity has improved slightly when compared to the same quarter one year prior. This can be construed as a modest strength in the organization. Compared to other companies in the Software industry and the overall market, SALESFORCE.COM INC's return on equity significantly trails that of both the industry average and the S&P 500.
  • Despite currently having a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.38, it is higher than that of the industry average, inferring that management of debt levels may need to be evaluated further. Despite the fact that CRM's debt-to-equity ratio is mixed in its results, the company's quick ratio of 0.66 is low and demonstrates weak liquidity.
MS Chart MS data by YCharts

9. Morgan Stanley (MS)
Market Cap: $76.2 billion
Year-to-date return: -0.28%
2015 Consensus EPS Growth Estimate: 32.67%

S&P Capital IQ Rating/Price Target: Strong Buy/$45 PT

TheStreet Ratings: Buy, B
TheStreet Ratings said:
"We rate MORGAN STANLEY (MS) a BUY. This is driven by multiple strengths, which we believe should have a greater impact than any weaknesses, and should give investors a better performance opportunity than most stocks we cover. The company's strengths can be seen in multiple areas, such as its revenue growth, solid stock price performance, impressive record of earnings per share growth, compelling growth in net income and attractive valuation levels. We feel its strengths outweigh the fact that the company shows weak operating cash flow."

Highlights from the analysis by TheStreet Ratings Team goes as follows:

  • MS's revenue growth has slightly outpaced the industry average of 5.2%. Since the same quarter one year prior, revenues slightly increased by 7.6%. Growth in the company's revenue appears to have helped boost the earnings per share.
  • Powered by its strong earnings growth of 59.45% and other important driving factors, this stock has surged by 26.08% over the past year, outperforming the rise in the S&P 500 Index during the same period. Regarding the stock's future course, although almost any stock can fall in a broad market decline, MS should continue to move higher despite the fact that it has already enjoyed a very nice gain in the past year.
  • MORGAN STANLEY reported significant earnings per share improvement in the most recent quarter compared to the same quarter a year ago. The company has demonstrated a pattern of positive earnings per share growth over the past two years. We feel that this trend should continue. During the past fiscal year, MORGAN STANLEY increased its bottom line by earning $1.60 versus $1.38 in the prior year. This year, the market expects an improvement in earnings ($2.95 versus $1.60).
  • The net income growth from the same quarter one year ago has significantly exceeded that of the S&P 500 and the Capital Markets industry. The net income increased by 59.1% when compared to the same quarter one year prior, rising from $1,505.00 million to $2,394.00 million.


GILD ChartGILD data by YCharts
8. Gilead Sciences (GILD)
Market Cap: $163.3 billion
Year-to-date return: 17.3%
2015 Consensus EPS Growth Estimate: 34.49%

S&P Capital IQ Rating/Price Target: Strong Buy/$143 PT

TheStreet Ratings: Buy, A
TheStreet Ratings said:
"We rate GILEAD SCIENCES INC (GILD) a BUY. This is based on the convergence of positive investment measures, which should help this stock outperform the majority of stocks that we rate. The company's strengths can be seen in multiple areas, such as its robust revenue growth, solid stock price performance, impressive record of earnings per share growth, compelling growth in net income and notable return on equity. Although the company may harbor some minor weaknesses, we feel they are unlikely to have a significant impact on results."

Highlights from the analysis by TheStreet Ratings Team goes as follows:

  • GILD's very impressive revenue growth greatly exceeded the industry average of 19.9%. Since the same quarter one year prior, revenues leaped by 51.9%. Growth in the company's revenue appears to have helped boost the earnings per share.
  • Powered by its strong earnings growth of 107.51% and other important driving factors, this stock has surged by 34.29% over the past year, outperforming the rise in the S&P 500 Index during the same period. Regarding the stock's future course, although almost any stock can fall in a broad market decline, GILD should continue to move higher despite the fact that it has already enjoyed a very nice gain in the past year.
  • GILEAD SCIENCES INC reported significant earnings per share improvement in the most recent quarter compared to the same quarter a year ago. The company has demonstrated a pattern of positive earnings per share growth over the past two years. We feel that this trend should continue. During the past fiscal year, GILEAD SCIENCES INC increased its bottom line by earning $7.38 versus $1.83 in the prior year. This year, the market expects an improvement in earnings ($10.70 versus $7.38).
  • The net income growth from the same quarter one year ago has significantly exceeded that of the S&P 500 and the Biotechnology industry. The net income increased by 94.5% when compared to the same quarter one year prior, rising from $2,227.41 million to $4,333.00 million.
  • The company's current return on equity greatly increased when compared to its ROE from the same quarter one year prior. This is a signal of significant strength within the corporation. Compared to other companies in the Biotechnology industry and the overall market, GILEAD SCIENCES INC's return on equity significantly exceeds that of both the industry average and the S&P 500.

 

MPC Chart MPC data by YCharts

7. Marathon Petroleum Corp. (MPC)
Market Cap: $28.3 billion
Year-to-date return: 15.5%
2015 Consensus EPS Growth Estimate: 34.50%

S&P Capital IQ Rating/Price Target: Hold/$106 PT

TheStreet Ratings: Buy, A
TheStreet Ratings said:
"We rate MARATHON PETROLEUM CORP (MPC) a BUY. This is based on the convergence of positive investment measures, which should help this stock outperform the majority of stocks that we rate. The company's strengths can be seen in multiple areas, such as its solid stock price performance, impressive record of earnings per share growth, compelling growth in net income, attractive valuation levels and good cash flow from operations. We feel its strengths outweigh the fact that the company shows low profit margins."

Highlights from the analysis by TheStreet Ratings Team goes as follows:

  • Compared to where it was a year ago today, the stock is now trading at a higher level, reflecting both the market's overall trend during that period and the fact that the company's earnings growth has been robust. Turning our attention to the future direction of the stock, it goes without saying that even the best stocks can fall in an overall down market. However, in any other environment, this stock still has good upside potential despite the fact that it has already risen in the past year.
  • MARATHON PETROLEUM CORP reported significant earnings per share improvement in the most recent quarter compared to the same quarter a year ago. The company has demonstrated a pattern of positive earnings per share growth over the past year. We feel that this trend should continue. During the past fiscal year, MARATHON PETROLEUM CORP increased its bottom line by earning $8.84 versus $6.61 in the prior year. This year, the market expects an improvement in earnings ($10.92 versus $8.84).
  • The net income growth from the same quarter one year ago has significantly exceeded that of the S&P 500 and the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. The net income increased by 347.7% when compared to the same quarter one year prior, rising from $199.00 million to $891.00 million.
  • Net operating cash flow has significantly increased by 55.35% to $1,190.00 million when compared to the same quarter last year. In addition, MARATHON PETROLEUM CORP has also vastly surpassed the industry average cash flow growth rate of -53.10%.

 

F Chart F data by YCharts

6. Ford Motor Co. (F)
Market Cap: $61.6 billion
Year-to-date return: flat
2015 Consensus EPS Growth Estimate: 37.62%

S&P Capital IQ Rating/Price Target: Buy/$19 PT

TheStreet Ratings: Buy, B
TheStreet Ratings said:
"We rate FORD MOTOR CO (F) a BUY. This is driven by several positive factors, which we believe should have a greater impact than any weaknesses, and should give investors a better performance opportunity than most stocks we cover. Among the primary strengths of the company is its generally strong cash flow from operations. We feel its strengths outweigh the fact that the company has had lackluster performance in the stock itself."

Highlights from the analysis by TheStreet Ratings Team goes as follows:

  • Net operating cash flow has slightly increased to $2,413.00 million or 8.69% when compared to the same quarter last year. The firm also exceeded the industry average cash flow growth rate of -23.97%.
  • Regardless of the drop in revenue, the company managed to outperform against the industry average of 6.6%. Since the same quarter one year prior, revenues slightly dropped by 5.5%. The declining revenue appears to have seeped down to the company's bottom line, decreasing earnings per share.
  • FORD MOTOR CO' earnings per share from the most recent quarter came in slightly below the year earlier quarter. The company has suffered a declining pattern of earnings per share over the past two years. However, we anticipate this trend to reverse over the coming year. During the past fiscal year, FORD MOTOR CO reported lower earnings of $0.78 versus $1.75 in the prior year. This year, the market expects an improvement in earnings ($1.60 versus $0.78).
  • The gross profit margin for FORD MOTOR CO is rather low; currently it is at 18.58%. Regardless of F's low profit margin, it has managed to increase from the same period last year. Despite the mixed results of the gross profit margin, the net profit margin of 2.72% trails the industry average.
  • Return on equity has greatly decreased when compared to its ROE from the same quarter one year prior. This is a signal of major weakness within the corporation. Compared to other companies in the Automobiles industry and the overall market on the basis of return on equity, FORD MOTOR CO has outperformed in comparison with the industry average, but has underperformed when compared to that of the S&P 500.

 

DAL Chart DAL data by YCharts

5. Delta Air Lines (DAL)
Market Cap: $37.7 billion
Year-to-date return: -6%
2015 Consensus EPS Growth Estimate: 39.60%

S&P Capital IQ Rating/Price Target: Strong Buy/$62 PT

TheStreet Ratings: Buy, A-
TheStreet Ratings said:
"We rate DELTA AIR LINES INC (DAL) a BUY. This is based on the convergence of positive investment measures, which should help this stock outperform the majority of stocks that we rate. The company's strengths can be seen in multiple areas, such as its revenue growth, good cash flow from operations, solid stock price performance, growth in earnings per share and increase in net income. We feel its strengths outweigh the fact that the company has had somewhat disappointing return on equity."

Highlights from the analysis by TheStreet Ratings Team goes as follows:

  • DAL's revenue growth has slightly outpaced the industry average of 0.9%. Since the same quarter one year prior, revenues slightly increased by 5.3%. Growth in the company's revenue appears to have helped boost the earnings per share.
  • Looking at where the stock is today compared to one year ago, we find that it is not only higher, but it has also clearly outperformed the rise in the S&P 500 over the same period. Although other factors naturally played a role, the company's strong earnings growth was key. The stock's price rise over the last year has driven it to a level which is somewhat expensive compared to the rest of its industry. We feel, however, that other strengths this company displays justify these higher price levels.
  • DELTA AIR LINES INC reported significant earnings per share improvement in the most recent quarter compared to the same quarter a year ago. This company has reported somewhat volatile earnings recently. But, we feel it is poised for EPS growth in the coming year. During the past fiscal year, DELTA AIR LINES INC reported lower earnings of $0.75 versus $12.29 in the prior year. This year, the market expects an improvement in earnings ($4.65 versus $0.75).
  • Net operating cash flow has significantly increased by 72.02% to $1,636.00 million when compared to the same quarter last year. Despite an increase in cash flow, DELTA AIR LINES INC's cash flow growth rate is still lower than the industry average growth rate of 99.76%.
  • The company, on the basis of net income growth from the same quarter one year ago, has significantly underperformed compared to the Airlines industry average, but is greater than that of the S&P 500. The net income increased by 250.2% when compared to the same quarter one year prior, rising from $213.00 million to $746.00 million.

 

GM Chart GM data by YCharts

4. General Motors (GM)
Market Cap: $56.5 billion
Year-to-date return: .60%
2015 Consensus EPS Growth Estimate: 49.24%

S&P Capital IQ Rating/Price Target: Strong Buy/$43 PT

TheStreet Ratings: Buy, B
TheStreet Ratings said:
"We rate GENERAL MOTORS CO (GM) a BUY. This is driven by a number of strengths, which we believe should have a greater impact than any weaknesses, and should give investors a better performance opportunity than most stocks we cover. The company's strengths can be seen in multiple areas, such as its increase in net income, impressive record of earnings per share growth, notable return on equity and largely solid financial position with reasonable debt levels by most measures. We feel its strengths outweigh the fact that the company has had lackluster performance in the stock itself."

Highlights from the analysis by TheStreet Ratings Team goes as follows:

  • The net income growth from the same quarter one year ago has significantly exceeded that of the S&P 500 and the Automobiles industry. The net income increased by 343.7% when compared to the same quarter one year prior, rising from $213.00 million to $945.00 million.
  • GENERAL MOTORS CO reported significant earnings per share improvement in the most recent quarter compared to the same quarter a year ago. This company has reported somewhat volatile earnings recently. But, we feel it is poised for EPS growth in the coming year. During the past fiscal year, GENERAL MOTORS CO reported lower earnings of $1.64 versus $2.35 in the prior year. This year, the market expects an improvement in earnings ($4.48 versus $1.64).
  • The return on equity has improved slightly when compared to the same quarter one year prior. This can be construed as a modest strength in the organization. Compared to other companies in the Automobiles industry and the overall market on the basis of return on equity, GENERAL MOTORS CO has outperformed in comparison with the industry average, but has underperformed when compared to that of the S&P 500.
  • Regardless of the drop in revenue, the company managed to outperform against the industry average of 6.6%. Since the same quarter one year prior, revenues slightly dropped by 4.5%. The declining revenue has not hurt the company's bottom line, with increasing earnings per share.
  • Even though the current debt-to-equity ratio is 1.33, it is still below the industry average, suggesting that this level of debt is acceptable within the Automobiles industry. Regardless of the somewhat mixed results with the debt-to-equity ratio, the company's quick ratio of 0.79 is weak.

 

 

ADBE Chart ADBE data by YCharts

3. Adobe Systems (ADBE)
Market Cap: $39.8 billion
Year-to-date return: 9.5%
2015 Consensus EPS Growth Estimate: 61.54%

S&P Capital IQ Rating/Price Target: Hold/$82 PT

TheStreet Ratings: Buy, B-
TheStreet Ratings said:
"We rate ADOBE SYSTEMS INC (ADBE) a BUY. This is driven by multiple strengths, which we believe should have a greater impact than any weaknesses, and should give investors a better performance opportunity than most stocks we cover. The company's strengths can be seen in multiple areas, such as its revenue growth, largely solid financial position with reasonable debt levels by most measures, increase in net income, solid stock price performance and growth in earnings per share. We feel its strengths outweigh the fact that the company shows weak operating cash flow."

Highlights from the analysis by TheStreet Ratings Team goes as follows:

  • The revenue growth came in higher than the industry average of 1.5%. Since the same quarter one year prior, revenues rose by 10.9%. This growth in revenue appears to have trickled down to the company's bottom line, improving the earnings per share.
  • Although ADBE's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.29 is very low, it is currently higher than that of the industry average. To add to this, ADBE has a quick ratio of 2.07, which demonstrates the ability of the company to cover short-term liquidity needs.
  • The net income growth from the same quarter one year ago has significantly exceeded that of the S&P 500 and the Software industry. The net income increased by 80.4% when compared to the same quarter one year prior, rising from $47.05 million to $84.89 million.
  • Powered by its strong earnings growth of 88.88% and other important driving factors, this stock has surged by 30.46% over the past year, outperforming the rise in the S&P 500 Index during the same period. We feel that the stock's sharp appreciation over the last year has driven it to a price level which is now somewhat expensive compared to the rest of its industry. The other strengths this company shows, however, justify the higher price levels.
  • ADOBE SYSTEMS INC reported significant earnings per share improvement in the most recent quarter compared to the same quarter a year ago. This company has reported somewhat volatile earnings recently. But, we feel it is poised for EPS growth in the coming year. During the past fiscal year, ADOBE SYSTEMS INC reported lower earnings of $0.52 versus $0.57 in the prior year. This year, the market expects an improvement in earnings ($2.09 versus $0.52).

 

AAL Chart AAL data by YCharts

2. American Airlines (AAL)
Market Cap: $33.2 billion
Year-to-date return: -10.8%
2015 Consensus EPS Growth Estimate: 74.60%

S&P Capital IQ Rating/Price Target: Buy/$70 PT

TheStreet Ratings: Hold, C
TheStreet Ratings said:
"We rate AMERICAN AIRLINES GROUP INC (AAL) a HOLD. The primary factors that have impacted our rating are mixed - some indicating strength, some showing weaknesses, with little evidence to justify the expectation of either a positive or negative performance for this stock relative to most other stocks. The company's strengths can be seen in multiple areas, such as its solid stock price performance, impressive record of earnings per share growth and notable return on equity. However, as a counter to these strengths, we find that the company has favored debt over equity in the management of its balance sheet."

Highlights from the analysis by TheStreet Ratings Team goes as follows:

  • Powered by its strong earnings growth of 100.00% and other important driving factors, this stock has surged by 25.66% over the past year, outperforming the rise in the S&P 500 Index during the same period. Regarding the stock's future course, our hold rating indicates that we do not recommend additional investment in this stock despite its gains in the past year.
  • AMERICAN AIRLINES GROUP INC reported significant earnings per share improvement in the most recent quarter compared to the same quarter a year ago. The company has demonstrated a pattern of positive earnings per share growth over the past two years. We feel that this trend should continue. This trend suggests that the performance of the business is improving. During the past fiscal year, AMERICAN AIRLINES GROUP INC turned its bottom line around by earning $3.92 versus -$8.48 in the prior year. This year, the market expects an improvement in earnings ($9.75 versus $3.92).
  • Net operating cash flow has significantly increased by 98.56% to $2,494.00 million when compared to the same quarter last year. Despite an increase in cash flow, AMERICAN AIRLINES GROUP INC's average is still marginally south of the industry average growth rate of 99.76%.
  • The company, on the basis of net income growth from the same quarter one year ago, has significantly underperformed compared to the Airlines industry average, but is greater than that of the S&P 500. The net income increased by 94.2% when compared to the same quarter one year prior, rising from $480.00 million to $932.00 million.
  • The debt-to-equity ratio is very high at 6.85 and currently higher than the industry average, implying increased risk associated with the management of debt levels within the company. Along with the unfavorable debt-to-equity ratio, AAL maintains a poor quick ratio of 0.83, which illustrates the inability to avoid short-term cash problems.

 

 

 

 

LUV Chart LUV data by YCharts

1. Southwest Airlines (LUV)
Market Cap: $27.3 billion
Year-to-date return: -3.3%
2015 Consensus EPS Growth Estimate: 77.15%

S&P Capital IQ Rating/Price Target: Buy/$55 PT

TheStreet Ratings: Buy, A+
TheStreet Ratings said:
"We rate SOUTHWEST AIRLINES (LUV) a BUY. This is based on the convergence of positive investment measures, which should help this stock outperform the majority of stocks that we rate. The company's strengths can be seen in multiple areas, such as its revenue growth, impressive record of earnings per share growth, solid stock price performance, largely solid financial position with reasonable debt levels by most measures and notable return on equity. We feel its strengths outweigh the fact that the company shows low profit margins."

Highlights from the analysis by TheStreet Ratings Team goes as follows:

  • LUV's revenue growth has slightly outpaced the industry average of 0.9%. Since the same quarter one year prior, revenues slightly increased by 6.0%. Growth in the company's revenue appears to have helped boost the earnings per share.
  • SOUTHWEST AIRLINES reported significant earnings per share improvement in the most recent quarter compared to the same quarter a year ago. The company has demonstrated a pattern of positive earnings per share growth over the past two years. We feel that this trend should continue. During the past fiscal year, SOUTHWEST AIRLINES increased its bottom line by earning $1.65 versus $1.06 in the prior year. This year, the market expects an improvement in earnings ($3.53 versus $1.65).
  • Powered by its strong earnings growth of 200.00% and other important driving factors, this stock has surged by 69.08% over the past year, outperforming the rise in the S&P 500 Index during the same period. Looking ahead, the stock's sharp rise over the last year has already helped drive it to a level which is relatively expensive compared to the rest of its industry. We feel, however, that other strengths this company displays justify these higher price levels.
  • Net operating cash flow has increased to $1,452.00 million or 29.75% when compared to the same quarter last year. Despite an increase in cash flow of 29.75%, SOUTHWEST AIRLINES is still growing at a significantly lower rate than the industry average of 99.76%.
  • The current debt-to-equity ratio, 0.39, is low and is below the industry average, implying that there has been successful management of debt levels. Despite the fact that LUV's debt-to-equity ratio is low, the quick ratio, which is currently 0.57, displays a potential problem in covering short-term cash needs.

 

 

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