What To Hold: 3 Hold-Rated Dividend Stocks NYMT, GARS, ORIG

Editor's Note: Any reference to TheStreet Ratings and its underlying recommendation does not reflect the opinion of TheStreet, Inc. or any of its contributors including Jim Cramer

TheStreet Ratings' stock model projects a stock's total return potential over a 12-month period including both price appreciation and dividends. Our Buy, Hold or Sell ratings designate how we expect these stocks to perform against a general benchmark of the equities market and interest rates.

While plenty of high-yield opportunities exist, investors must always consider the safety of their dividend and the total return potential of their investment. It is not uncommon for a struggling company to suspend high-yielding dividends which could subsequently result in precipitous share price declines.

TheStreet Ratings' stock rating model views dividends favorably, but not so much that other factors are disregarded. Our model gauges the relationship between risk and reward in several ways, including: the pricing drawdown as compared to potential profit volatility, i.e. how much one is willing to risk in order to earn profits?; the level of acceptable volatility for highly performing stocks; the current valuation as compared to projected earnings growth; and the financial strength of the underlying company as compared to its stock's valuation as compared to its stock's performance.

These and many more derived observations are then combined, ranked, weighted, and scenario-tested to create a more complete analysis. The result is a systematic and disciplined method of selecting stocks. As always, stock ratings should not be treated as gospel — rather, use them as a starting point for your own research.

The following pages contain our analysis of 3 stocks with substantial yields, that ultimately, we have rated "Hold."

New York Mortgage

Dividend Yield: 14.00%

New York Mortgage (NASDAQ: NYMT) shares currently have a dividend yield of 14.00%.

New York Mortgage Trust, Inc., a real estate investment trust (REIT), engages in acquiring, investing in, financing, and managing mortgage-related and financial assets in the United States. The company has a P/E ratio of 5.50.

The average volume for New York Mortgage has been 1,179,800 shares per day over the past 30 days. New York Mortgage has a market cap of $818.5 million and is part of the real estate industry. Shares are down 0.1% year-to-date as of the close of trading on Friday.

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TheStreet Ratings rates New York Mortgage as a hold. The company's strengths can be seen in multiple areas, such as its notable return on equity, attractive valuation levels and increase in net income. However, as a counter to these strengths, we also find weaknesses including poor profit margins and feeble growth in the company's earnings per share.

Highlights from the ratings report include:
  • The return on equity has improved slightly when compared to the same quarter one year prior. This can be construed as a modest strength in the organization. Compared to other companies in the Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) industry and the overall market, NEW YORK MORTGAGE TRUST INC's return on equity exceeds that of both the industry average and the S&P 500.
  • The net income growth from the same quarter one year ago has exceeded that of the S&P 500, but is less than that of the Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) industry average. The net income increased by 3.7% when compared to the same quarter one year prior, going from $22.71 million to $23.54 million.
  • NEW YORK MORTGAGE TRUST INC's earnings per share declined by 27.6% in the most recent quarter compared to the same quarter a year ago. This company has reported somewhat volatile earnings recently. We feel it is likely to report a decline in earnings in the coming year. During the past fiscal year, NEW YORK MORTGAGE TRUST INC increased its bottom line by earning $1.47 versus $1.11 in the prior year. For the next year, the market is expecting a contraction of 31.3% in earnings ($1.01 versus $1.47).
  • The gross profit margin for NEW YORK MORTGAGE TRUST INC is currently lower than what is desirable, coming in at 26.18%. It has decreased from the same quarter the previous year. Along with this, the net profit margin of 23.41% trails that of the industry average.

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Garrison Capital

Dividend Yield: 9.40%

Garrison Capital (NASDAQ: GARS) shares currently have a dividend yield of 9.40%.

Garrison Capital Inc. is a business development company specializing in investments primarily in the debt and equity of middle market companies. The company has a P/E ratio of 7.90.

The average volume for Garrison Capital has been 53,100 shares per day over the past 30 days. Garrison Capital has a market cap of $249.0 million and is part of the financial services industry. Shares are up 2.9% year-to-date as of the close of trading on Friday.

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TheStreet Ratings rates Garrison Capital as a hold. The company's strengths can be seen in multiple areas, such as its robust revenue growth, expanding profit margins and increase in stock price during the past year. However, as a counter to these strengths, we also find weaknesses including unimpressive growth in net income, weak operating cash flow and feeble growth in the company's earnings per share.

Highlights from the ratings report include:
  • The revenue growth came in higher than the industry average of 5.4%. Since the same quarter one year prior, revenues rose by 17.6%. This growth in revenue does not appear to have trickled down to the company's bottom line, displayed by a decline in earnings per share.
  • The gross profit margin for GARRISON CAPITAL INC is rather high; currently it is at 65.83%. It has increased from the same quarter the previous year. Along with this, the net profit margin of 42.34% significantly outperformed against the industry average.
  • The return on equity has improved slightly when compared to the same quarter one year prior. This can be construed as a modest strength in the organization. Compared to other companies in the Capital Markets industry and the overall market on the basis of return on equity, GARRISON CAPITAL INC has outperformed in comparison with the industry average, but has underperformed when compared to that of the S&P 500.
  • The company, on the basis of change in net income from the same quarter one year ago, has significantly underperformed compared to the Capital Markets industry average, but is greater than that of the S&P 500. The net income has decreased by 15.1% when compared to the same quarter one year ago, dropping from $6.67 million to $5.67 million.
  • Net operating cash flow has decreased to -$18.17 million or 23.32% when compared to the same quarter last year. In addition, when comparing to the industry average, the firm's growth rate is much lower.

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Ocean Rig UDW

Dividend Yield: 10.30%

Ocean Rig UDW (NASDAQ: ORIG) shares currently have a dividend yield of 10.30%.

Ocean Rig UDW Inc., an offshore drilling contractor, provides oilfield services for offshore oil and gas exploration, development, and production drilling. It specializes in the ultra-deepwater and harsh-environment segment of the offshore drilling industry. The company has a P/E ratio of 3.77.

The average volume for Ocean Rig UDW has been 702,300 shares per day over the past 30 days. Ocean Rig UDW has a market cap of $976.5 million and is part of the energy industry. Shares are down 20.5% year-to-date as of the close of trading on Friday.

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TheStreet Ratings rates Ocean Rig UDW as a hold. The company's strengths can be seen in multiple areas, such as its robust revenue growth, compelling growth in net income and attractive valuation levels. However, as a counter to these strengths, we also find weaknesses including a generally disappointing performance in the stock itself and generally higher debt management risk.

Highlights from the ratings report include:
  • The revenue growth greatly exceeded the industry average of 1.6%. Since the same quarter one year prior, revenues rose by 44.5%. Growth in the company's revenue appears to have helped boost the earnings per share.
  • The net income growth from the same quarter one year ago has significantly exceeded that of the S&P 500 and the Energy Equipment & Services industry. The net income increased by 120.6% when compared to the same quarter one year prior, rising from $39.66 million to $87.51 million.
  • Net operating cash flow has increased to $223.31 million or 10.91% when compared to the same quarter last year. Despite an increase in cash flow, OCEAN RIG UDW INC's average is still marginally south of the industry average growth rate of 11.84%.
  • ORIG's stock share price has done very poorly compared to where it was a year ago: Despite any rallies, the net result is that it is down by 56.10%, which is also worse that the performance of the S&P 500 Index. Investors have so far failed to pay much attention to the earnings improvements the company has managed to achieve over the last quarter. Turning toward the future, the fact that the stock has come down in price over the past year should not necessarily be interpreted as a negative; it could be one of the factors that may help make the stock attractive down the road. Right now, however, we believe that it is too soon to buy.
  • The debt-to-equity ratio of 1.38 is relatively high when compared with the industry average, suggesting a need for better debt level management. Regardless of the company's weak debt-to-equity ratio, ORIG has managed to keep a strong quick ratio of 2.10, which demonstrates the ability to cover short-term cash needs.

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