NEW YORK (TheStreet) -- Gran Tierra Energy (GTE - Get Report) shares are up 4.55% to $2.87 in early market trading on Monday as oil prices rebound following the release of OPEC's monthly report before the opening bell today.
The oil cartel said that while demand growth has not shown any signs of increasing, the prospect of low prices for oil would increase demand later in the year and upped its 2015 forecast as a result.
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"Crude oil prices started 2015 at a near six-year low, amid plentiful global oil supplies that have pushed oil prices down by almost 60% since June 2014. This time the sharp fall in prices has been mainly driven by excess supply. As a result, lower prices are likely to help to accelerate the pace of oil demand growth this time," OPEC said.
OPEC forecast that demand for its oil would increase to about 29.21 million barrels per day in 2015, over 400,000 barrels per day better than its previous estimates.
Industry standard West Texas crude for March delivery is up 2.57% to $53.02, while Brent crude is up 1.09% to $58.43 in trading today.
TheStreet Ratings team rates GRAN TIERRA ENERGY INC as a Hold with a ratings score of C. TheStreet Ratings Team has this to say about their recommendation:
"We rate GRAN TIERRA ENERGY INC (GTE) a HOLD. The primary factors that have impacted our rating are mixed - some indicating strength, some showing weaknesses, with little evidence to justify the expectation of either a positive or negative performance for this stock relative to most other stocks. The company's strengths can be seen in multiple areas, such as its increase in net income, largely solid financial position with reasonable debt levels by most measures and attractive valuation levels. However, as a counter to these strengths, we also find weaknesses including disappointing return on equity and a generally disappointing performance in the stock itself."
Highlights from the analysis by TheStreet Ratings Team goes as follows:
- The net income growth from the same quarter one year ago has significantly exceeded that of the S&P 500 and the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. The net income increased by 33.7% when compared to the same quarter one year prior, rising from $33.06 million to $44.18 million.
- GTE has no debt to speak of therefore resulting in a debt-to-equity ratio of zero, which we consider to be a relatively favorable sign. Along with this, the company maintains a quick ratio of 2.75, which clearly demonstrates the ability to cover short-term cash needs.
- Despite the weak revenue results, GTE has outperformed against the industry average of 21.4%. Since the same quarter one year prior, revenues slightly dropped by 5.4%. Weakness in the company's revenue seems to not be hurting the bottom line, shown by stable earnings per share.
- GTE's stock share price has done very poorly compared to where it was a year ago: Despite any rallies, the net result is that it is down by 65.02%, which is also worse than the performance of the S&P 500 Index. Naturally, the overall market trend is bound to be a significant factor. However, in one sense, the stock's sharp decline last year is a positive for future investors, making it cheaper (in proportion to its earnings over the past year) than most other stocks in its industry. But due to other concerns, we feel the stock is still not a good buy right now.
- Current return on equity is lower than its ROE from the same quarter one year prior. This is a clear sign of weakness within the company. In comparison to the other companies in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry and the overall market, GRAN TIERRA ENERGY INC's return on equity is significantly below that of the industry average and is below that of the S&P 500.
- You can view the full analysis from the report here: GTE Ratings Report