The problem for the world's biggest aircraft manufacturer is that while older aircraft are considered to be fuel inefficient, inefficiency matters much less with lower-cost oil, making new aircraft less essential.
The situation has not been lost on investors. In the second half of the year, oil prices have dropped by about 50%, the S&P 500 has gained about 5% and the Dow Jones Industrial Average has gained about 6%. Boeing, a Dow component, has been flat.
Investor concerns include the impact of declining fuel prices, gaps before Boeing can begin delivery of the new model 777X and 737MAX and declining cash flow related to costs for the 787 and other aircraft. Boeing shares opened on July 1 at $127.66. On Monday, shares closed at $128.22.
Richard Aboulafia, aerospace analyst for the Teal Group, said Boeing has been "in a state of denial" about the impact of falling oil prices.
"They continue to ramp up production, when they should be conservative," he said. "They don't show any signs of conservatism."
In particular, Air France raised concerns with its Dec. 18 announcement that it will defer delivery of 10 Boeing 777s, although several issues -- not just falling oil prices -- factor in.
The troubled carrier has issued three profit warnings in six months. A deferral means it can possibly take delivery of the 777X, expected to come to market in 2020, rather than the current model. It had planned to replace aging 747s with the new 777s, but now the need has diminished.
"Could AirFrance do this if fuel had stayed at $100 a barrel? Maybe not," Aboulafia said. "It's a lever they can pull because fuel has gotten cheaper. So it's somewhat fuel related. But also, they are mindful of the realities of being Air France, with so much of their traffic going to the Gulf carriers.
"Now anyone who needs to save cash will be tempted to follow Air France," he said.
Aboulafia said a winner among airlines has been Delta (DAL) , which is seeing validation of its long-time strategy of flying older aircraft rather than rushing to buy new ones. "Delta faced the situation and said, 'We don't care, we're sticking with older jets,'" he said. "The rest of the market said, 'We care, we wanted newer jets.' Will this persuade more airlines to think like Delta does? That depends on how much oil falls."