Mattel (MAT) Is Water-Logged And Getting Wetter Today

Editor's Note: Any reference to TheStreet Ratings and its underlying recommendation does not reflect the opinion of TheStreet, Inc. or any of its contributors including Jim Cramer or Stephanie Link.

Trade-Ideas LLC identified Mattel ( MAT) as a "water-logged and getting wetter" (weak stocks crossing below support with today's range greater than 200%) candidate. In addition to specific proprietary factors, Trade-Ideas identified Mattel as such a stock due to the following factors:

  • MAT has an average dollar-volume (as measured by average daily share volume multiplied by share price) of $131.9 million.
  • MAT has traded 7.5 million shares today.
  • MAT traded in a range 236.2% of the normal price range with a price range of $1.51.
  • MAT traded below its daily resistance level (quality: 58 days, meaning that the stock is crossing a resistance level set by the last 58 calendar days. The resistance price is defined by the Price - $0.01 at the time of the signal).

Stocks matching the 'Water-Logged and Getting Wetter' criteria are worthwhile stocks to watch for a variety of factors including historical back testing and volatility. Trade-Ideas targets these opportunities because the stock is exhibiting an unusual behavior while displaying negative price action. In this case, the stock crossed an important inflection point; namely, "support" while at the same time the range of the stock's movement in price is twice its normal size. This large range foreshadows a possible continuation as the stock moves lower.

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More details on MAT:

Mattel, Inc. designs, manufactures, and markets a range of toy products worldwide. The company operates in three segments: North America, International, and American Girl. It also publishes Advice and Activity books and the American Girl magazine. The stock currently has a dividend yield of 5%. MAT has a PE ratio of 14.7. Currently there is 1 analyst that rates Mattel a buy, no analysts rate it a sell, and 10 rate it a hold.

The average volume for Mattel has been 4.6 million shares per day over the past 30 days. Mattel has a market cap of $10.3 billion and is part of the consumer goods sector and consumer durables industry. The stock has a beta of 1.27 and a short float of 3.6% with 2.76 days to cover. Shares are down 35.4% year-to-date as of the close of trading on Wednesday.

STOCKS TO BUY: TheStreet Quant Ratings has identified a handful of stocks that can potentially TRIPLE in the next 12 months. Learn more.

TheStreetRatings.com Analysis:

TheStreet Quant Ratings rates Mattel as a buy. The company's strengths can be seen in multiple areas, such as its largely solid financial position with reasonable debt levels by most measures and expanding profit margins. We feel these strengths outweigh the fact that the company has had sub par growth in net income.

Highlights from the ratings report include:
  • MAT's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.70 is somewhat low overall, but it is high when compared to the industry average, implying that the management of the debt levels should be evaluated further. Despite the fact that MAT's debt-to-equity ratio is mixed in its results, the company's quick ratio of 1.61 is high and demonstrates strong liquidity.
  • The gross profit margin for MATTEL INC is rather high; currently it is at 53.21%. Regardless of MAT's high profit margin, it has managed to decrease from the same period last year. Despite the mixed results of the gross profit margin, MAT's net profit margin of 16.41% compares favorably to the industry average.
  • MAT, with its decline in revenue, underperformed when compared the industry average of 4.4%. Since the same quarter one year prior, revenues slightly dropped by 8.4%. Weakness in the company's revenue seems to have hurt the bottom line, decreasing earnings per share.
  • MATTEL INC's earnings per share declined by 19.8% in the most recent quarter compared to the same quarter a year ago. This company has reported somewhat volatile earnings recently. We feel it is likely to report a decline in earnings in the coming year. During the past fiscal year, MATTEL INC increased its bottom line by earning $2.60 versus $2.21 in the prior year. For the next year, the market is expecting a contraction of 24.2% in earnings ($1.97 versus $2.60).
  • Looking at the price performance of MAT's shares over the past 12 months, there is not much good news to report: the stock is down 31.44%, and it has underformed the S&P 500 Index. In addition, the company's earnings per share are lower today than the year-earlier quarter. Looking ahead, the stock's sharp decline over the past year may have been what was needed in order to bring its value into alignment with its fundamentals and others in its industry.

STOCKS TO BUY: TheStreet Quant Ratings has identified a handful of stocks that can potentially TRIPLE in the next 12 months. Learn more.

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