Will This EPS Estimate Decrease Hurt Tesla (TSLA) Stock Today?

NEW YORK (TheStreet) -- Shares of Tesla Motors (TSLA) were falling 2.5% to $251.36 in pre-market trading Wednesday after Morgan Stanley lowered its 2015 EPS estimates for the electric vehicle market.

The analyst firm lowered its 2015 EPS estimates for Tesla to $2.45 a share from its previous estimates of $4.39 a share for the year. Analysts surveyed by Thomson Reuters expect the company to report earnings of $2.99 a share for 2015.

Morgan Stanley also lowered its 2015 Model X delivery forecast to 5,000 vehicles from its previous estimate of 15,000 vehicles.

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The analyst firm maintained its "buy" rating and $320 price target for Tesla.

Read more: Why Tesla Still Has 'Execution Hurdles' to Clear on the Model X

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Separately, TheStreet Ratings team rates TESLA MOTORS INC as a Hold with a ratings score of C-. TheStreet Ratings Team has this to say about their recommendation:

"We rate TESLA MOTORS INC (TSLA) a HOLD. The primary factors that have impacted our rating are mixed -- some indicating strength, some showing weaknesses, with little evidence to justify the expectation of either a positive or negative performance for this stock relative to most other stocks. The company's strengths can be seen in multiple areas, such as its robust revenue growth, solid stock price performance and expanding profit margins. However, as a counter to these strengths, we also find weaknesses including deteriorating net income and weak operating cash flow."

Highlights from the analysis by TheStreet Ratings Team goes as follows:

  • TSLA's very impressive revenue growth greatly exceeded the industry average of 3.8%. Since the same quarter one year prior, revenues leaped by 97.5%. This growth in revenue does not appear to have trickled down to the company's bottom line, displayed by a decline in earnings per share.
  • Compared to its closing price of one year ago, TSLA's share price has jumped by 81.47%, exceeding the performance of the broader market during that same time frame. Regarding the stock's future course, our hold rating indicates that we do not recommend additional investment in this stock despite its gains in the past year.
  • TESLA MOTORS INC has experienced a steep decline in earnings per share in the most recent quarter in comparison to its performance from the same quarter a year ago. This company has reported somewhat volatile earnings recently. But, we feel it is poised for EPS growth in the coming year. During the past fiscal year, TESLA MOTORS INC continued to lose money by earning -$0.71 versus -$3.70 in the prior year. This year, the market expects an improvement in earnings ($0.60 versus -$0.71).
  • The company, on the basis of change in net income from the same quarter one year ago, has significantly underperformed when compared to that of the S&P 500 and the Automobiles industry. The net income has significantly decreased by 94.1% when compared to the same quarter one year ago, falling from -$38.50 million to -$74.71 million.
  • Net operating cash flow has significantly decreased to -$28.00 million or 127.35% when compared to the same quarter last year. In addition, when comparing to the industry average, the firm's growth rate is much lower.
  • You can view the full analysis from the report here: TSLA Ratings Report

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