Intel, Home Depot, Microsoft Lead DJIA During Earnings Season

NEW YORK (TheStreet) -- The Dow Jones Industrial Average is up 2.8% year to date through Thursday's close after setting an all-time intraday high at 17,151.56 on July 17. Even so, the Dow 30 is down fractionally since my pre-earnings post on July 7. Only 11 of 30 Dow components had gains between July 3 and Thursday.

The winning stocks since July 3 are Intel (INTC) with a gain of 13%; Home Depot (HD) , which is up 11%; and Microsoft (MSFT) , which is up 8.2%.

The biggest losers among the 19 decliners are American Express (AXP) , which is down 7%; McDonald's (MCD) , which is down 6.4%; and Pfizer (PFE) , which is down 5.6%.

Stocks that set all-time or multiyear highs between July 3 and Thursday are Caterpillar (CAT) , Cisco Systems (CSCO) , Chevron (CVX) , Disney (DIS) , Home Depot, Intel, Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) , Coco-Cola (KO) , 3M (MMM) , Microsoft (MSFT) , AT&T (T) , UnitedHealth Group (UNH) and Exxon Mobil (XOM) .

Disney (DIS) , Home Depot (HD) and Intel set their all-time or intraday highs on Thursday.

Among the 13 that set highs during earnings season, only five held onto gains between July 3 and Thursday.

Six stocks in the Dow ended Thursday below their 200-day simple moving averages including the following: Boeing (BA) , McDonald's, Pfizer, AT&T, United Technologies (UTX) and Walmart (WMT) .

Eight stocks have negative weekly charts, which are defined by weekly closes below their five-week modified moving averages with declining or oversold 12x3x3 weekly slow stochastics. The eight stocks include American Express, Cisco, Chevron, McDonald's, Pfizer, AT&T, Verizon (VZ) and Exxon Mobil.

Twelve stocks have positive weekly charts defined by weekly closes above their five-week modified moving averages with rising or overbought 12x3x3 weekly slow stochastics. Included in this category are DuPont (DD) , General Electric (GE) , Merck (MRK) and Procter & Gamble (PG) .

The relatively poor price performance belies that 23 companies in the DJIA beat analysts' earnings-per-share estimates, three matched estimates, and only four missed.

Investors who wish to buy a stock should use a good-until-canceled, or GTC, limit order to buy weakness to a value level. Investors who want to sell a stock should use a GTC limit order to sell strength to a risky level.

Crunching the Numbers with Richard Suttmeier: Moving Averages & Stochastics

This table provides the technical status for the stocks profiled in today's report.

There are five columns with moving average titles: Five-Week Modified Moving Average, 21-Day Simple Moving Average, 50-Day Simple Moving Average, 200-Day Simple Moving Average and the 200-Week Simple Moving Average.

The column labeled 12x3x3 Weekly Slow Stochastics shows the pattern on each weekly chart with readings from Oversold, Rising, Overbought, Declining or Flat.

Interpretations: Stocks below a moving average are listed in red.

Five-Week Modified Moving Average (MMA) is one of two indicators that define whether or not a weekly chart profile is positive, neutral or negative. The other is the status of the 12x3x3 weekly slow stochastic.

A stock with a positive technical rating is above its five-week MMA with rising or overbought stochastics.

A stock with a negative technical rating is below its five-week MMA with declining or oversold stochastics.

A stock with a neutral technical rating has a profile that is not positive or negative.

The 200-Week Simple Moving Average (SMA) is considered a long-term technical support or resistance and as a "reversion to the mean" over a rolling three- to five-year horizon.

The 21-Day Simple Moving Average is a short-term technical support or resistance used by many hedge fund traders to adjust positions. A stock above its 21-day SMA will likely move higher over a rolling three to five day horizon and vice versa.

The 50-Day Simple Moving Average is also a technical support or resistance used by many strategists and commentators in financial TV.

The 200-Day Simple Moving Average is another technical support or resistance and I consider this level as a shorter-term "reversion to the mean" over a rolling six- to 12-month horizon.

Crunching the Numbers with Richard Suttmeier: Earnings & Where to Buy & Where to Sell

This table presents the EPS estimates including date and before or after the close, and where to buy on weakness and where to sell on strength.

EPS Date is the day the company reported their quarterly results.

The Beat or Miss where a red number is a miss.

Reported EPS

Value Levels, Pivots and Risky Levels are calculated based upon the last nine weekly closes (W), nine monthly closes (M), nine quarterly closes (Q), nine semiannual closes (S) and nine annual closes (A). I have one column for pivots, which is a magnet for the period shown. The columns to the left of the pivots are first and second value levels. The columns to the right of the pivots are first and second risky levels.

At the time of publication, the author held no positions in any of the stocks mentioned.

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This article is commentary by an independent contributor, separate from TheStreet's regular news coverage.

TheStreet Ratings team rates INTEL CORP as a Buy with a ratings score of A+. TheStreet Ratings Team has this to say about their recommendation:

"We rate INTEL CORP (INTC) a BUY. This is based on the convergence of positive investment measures, which should help this stock outperform the majority of stocks that we rate. The company's strengths can be seen in multiple areas, such as its increase in net income, revenue growth, largely solid financial position with reasonable debt levels by most measures, solid stock price performance and reasonable valuation levels. Although the company may harbor some minor weaknesses, we feel they are unlikely to have a significant impact on results."

Highlights from the analysis by TheStreet Ratings Team goes as follows:

  • The company, on the basis of net income growth from the same quarter one year ago, has significantly outperformed against the S&P 500 and exceeded that of the Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment industry average. The net income increased by 39.8% when compared to the same quarter one year prior, rising from $2,000.00 million to $2,796.00 million.
  • Despite its growing revenue, the company underperformed as compared with the industry average of 9.0%. Since the same quarter one year prior, revenues slightly increased by 8.0%. Growth in the company's revenue appears to have helped boost the earnings per share.
  • Although INTC's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.22 is very low, it is currently higher than that of the industry average. To add to this, INTC has a quick ratio of 1.75, which demonstrates the ability of the company to cover short-term liquidity needs.
  • Powered by its strong earnings growth of 41.02% and other important driving factors, this stock has surged by 50.37% over the past year, outperforming the rise in the S&P 500 Index during the same period. Regarding the stock's future course, although almost any stock can fall in a broad market decline, INTC should continue to move higher despite the fact that it has already enjoyed a very nice gain in the past year.

Richard Suttmeier is the chief market strategist at ValuEngine.com. He has been a professional in the U.S. Capital Markets since 1972, transferring his engineering skills to the trading and investment world.

Suttmeier has an engineering degree from Georgia Tech and a Master of Science degree from Brooklyn Poly. He began his career in the financial services industry in 1972 trading U.S. Treasury securities in the primary dealer community. He became the first long bond trader for Bache in 1978, and formed the Government Bond Department at LF Rothschild in 1981, helping establish that firm as a primary dealer in 1986. This experience gives him the insights to be an expert on monetary policy, which he features in his newsletters, and market commentary.

Suttmeier's industry licenses include, Series 7 and Registered Principal (Series 24). He has been the Chief Market Strategist for ValuEngine.com since 2008 and often appears on financial TV.

Click here for details on Suttmeier's "Buy and Trade" investment strategy.

Richard Suttmeier can be reached at RSuttmeier@Gmail.com

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