Will Dollar General (DG) Stock Be Helped By This Analyst Action?

NEW YORK (TheStreet) -- Dollar General (DG) shares are down -0.6% to $63.73 in early market trading on Tuesday, a day after the company announced its $8.95 billion bid for rival Family Dollar (FDO) .

Analyst Daniel Binder at Jefferies (JEF) reiterated the firm's "buy" rating on the stock Tuesday in response to the news, and suggests that the company's estimates of $550 million to $600 million in synergy savings through the deal are understated.

"We also believe synergies are understated at $550-$600 million and could ultimately be closer to $1 billion. This gives DG the flexibility to bid higher and win any bidding war that may erupt with Dollar Tree  (DLTR)  ," he said.

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Separately, TheStreet Ratings team rates DOLLAR GENERAL CORP as a Buy with a ratings score of A-. TheStreet Ratings Team has this to say about their recommendation:

"We rate DOLLAR GENERAL CORP (DG) a BUY. This is based on the convergence of positive investment measures, which should help this stock outperform the majority of stocks that we rate. The company's strengths can be seen in multiple areas, such as its revenue growth, growth in earnings per share, increase in net income, notable return on equity and good cash flow from operations. We feel these strengths outweigh the fact that the company shows low profit margins."

Highlights from the analysis by TheStreet Ratings Team goes as follows:

  • The revenue growth came in higher than the industry average of 5.7%. Since the same quarter one year prior, revenues slightly increased by 6.8%. This growth in revenue appears to have trickled down to the company's bottom line, improving the earnings per share.
  • DOLLAR GENERAL CORP has improved earnings per share by 7.5% in the most recent quarter compared to the same quarter a year ago. The company has demonstrated a pattern of positive earnings per share growth over the past two years. We feel that this trend should continue. During the past fiscal year, DOLLAR GENERAL CORP increased its bottom line by earning $3.17 versus $2.86 in the prior year. This year, the market expects an improvement in earnings ($3.51 versus $3.17).
  • The net income growth from the same quarter one year ago has exceeded that of the S&P 500 and the Multiline Retail industry average. The net income increased by 1.1% when compared to the same quarter one year prior, going from $220.08 million to $222.40 million.
  • The return on equity has improved slightly when compared to the same quarter one year prior. This can be construed as a modest strength in the organization. Compared to other companies in the Multiline Retail industry and the overall market, DOLLAR GENERAL CORP's return on equity exceeds that of both the industry average and the S&P 500.
  • Net operating cash flow has significantly increased by 70.79% to $251.46 million when compared to the same quarter last year. In addition, DOLLAR GENERAL CORP has also vastly surpassed the industry average cash flow growth rate of -71.84%.
  • You can view the full analysis from the report here: DG Ratings Report

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