American Express, Newmont Mining, Panera Bread, 4 Others Set to Report

NEW YORK (TheStreet) -- Seven companies are set to report their quarterly results after the closing bell today, including Dow component and credit-card giant American Express (AXP), biotech giant Amgen (AMGN), pharmacy-benefit manager Express Scripts (ESRX) and U.S. Steel (X).

Among the seven, the biggest year-to-date gainer is Trinity Industries (TRN), whose stock is up 65%. Trinity makes products for railcars, barges and highway construction.

Also Included in today's pre-earnings profiles is gold miner Newmont Mining (NEM), which is up 11% so far this year.

United Results Impress Wall Street; Pilots Are Doubtful

The biggest loser is Panera Bread (PNRA), whose stock has been sliced by 19%.

Let's take a look at the stock profiles. Two "crunching the numbers" tables follow.

Amgen ($122.65) traded as high as $128.96 on March 21 and as low as $108.20 on April 28. It has been vacillating around its 200-day simple moving average since April 10 with this average now at $117.37.

Analysts expect the company to report earnings per share of $1.99. Amgen has a 12-month trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 16.2 and dividend yield of 2%.

The weekly chart is positive with its five-week modified moving average at $119.99. Semiannual and monthly value levels are $120.57 and $119.07, respectively, with weekly and quarterly risky levels at $124.25 and $139.16, respectively.

American Express ($91.86) set an all-time high at $96.24 on July 1, and is between its 200-day SMA at $88.28 and its 50-day SMA at $93.24.

Analysts expect the company to report earnings of $1.38 per share. It has a 12-month trailing P/E of 17.6 and dividend yield at 1.1%.

The weekly chart is negative with its five-week MMA at $92.89. Semiannual and annual value levels are $83.59 and $61.38, respectively, with semiannual and weekly risky levels at $96.66 and $97.02.

Express Scripts ($65.90) set an all-time high at $79.37 on March 11, and fell to a 2014 intraday low at $64.64 on April 30. The stock gapped below its 200-day SMA at $70.12 on April 30.

Analysts expect the company to report earnings of $1.22 per share. Express Scripts has a 12-month trailing P/E of 15.1, and it does not pay a dividend.

The weekly chart is negative with its five-week MMA at $67.94 and its 200-week SMA at $58.32. A weekly pivot is $65.71 with annual risky levels at $72.01 and $72.45.

With Activist Investors Still on the Warpath, Apache Is Still Priced Too Low

Newmont Mining ($25.64) set a multiyear intraday low at $20.79 on Feb. 6, and rallied to a test of its 200-day SMA on April 25. The stock has been above the 200-day at $24.52 since July 9.

Analysts expect the company to report earnings of 20 cents per share. It has a 12-month trailing P/E of 20.8 and dividend yield at 0.4%.

The weekly chart is positive with its five-week MMA at $25.05 which is well below its 200-week SMA at $44.87. Semiannual and monthly value levels are $21.47 and $19.49, respectively, with weekly and annual risky levels at $26.64 and $34.34, respectively.

Panera Bread ($143.61) traded as high as $193.18 on March 21, and has been below its 200-day SMA at $166.01 since April 24. The stock traded as low as $142.41 on July 25.

Analysts expect the company to report earnings of $1.75 per share. Panera has a 12-month trailing P/E of 22.1 and does not pay a dividend.

The weekly chart is negative but oversold with its five-week MMA and its 200-week SMA at $148.61 and $148.22, respectively. A weekly pivot is $143.93 with annual risky levels at $148.94 and $149.63. .

Trinity Industries ($45.03) set an all-time intraday high at $46.29 on July 23, and is above all five key moving averages in the first "crunching the numbers" table.

Analysts expect the company to report earnings of 76 cents per share. Trinity has a 12-month trailing P/E of 12.9 and dividend yield of 0.9%.

The weekly chart is positive but overbought with its five-week MMA at $43.63 in a parabolic formation. Quarterly and semiannual value levels are $42.43 and $37.46, respectively, with monthly and weekly risky levels at $46.16 and $46.17, respectively,

U.S. Steel ($27.84) began 2014 trading as high as $31.15 on Jan. 2, and traded as low as $22.47 on June 3. The stock has been trading back and forth around its 200-day SMA since May 16 with that average now at $26.12.

Analysts expect the company to report a loss of 32 cents per share. U.S. Steel has a 12-month trailing P/E ratio of 184.8 and a dividend yield of 0.7%.

The weekly chart is positive with its five-week MMA at $26.80 and its 200-week SMA at $29.36. Monthly and quarterly value levels are $28.51 and $25.15, respectively, with a weekly risky level at $29.67.

Zillow Bought Trulia Because the Stars Aligned

Crunching the Numbers with Richard Suttmeier: Moving Averages & Stochastics

This table provides the technical status for the stocks profiled in today's report.

The 12-month trailing price to earnings ratio

The Dividend Yield

There are five columns with moving average titles: Five-Week Modified Moving Average, 21-Day Simple Moving Average, 50-Day Simple Moving Average, 200-Day Simple Moving Average and the 200-Week Simple Moving Average.

The column labeled 12x3x3 Weekly Slow Stochastics shows the pattern on each weekly chart with readings from Oversold, Rising, Overbought, Declining or Flat.

Interpretations: Stocks below a moving average are listed in red.

Five-Week Modified Moving Average (MMA) is one of two indicators that define whether or not a weekly chart profile is positive, neutral or negative. The other is the status of the 12x3x3 weekly slow stochastic.

A stock with a positive technical rating is above its five-week MMA with rising or overbought stochastics.

A stock with a negative technical rating is below its five-week MMA with declining or oversold stochastics.

A stock with a neutral technical rating has a profile that is not positive or negative.

The 200-Week Simple Moving Average (SMA) is considered a long-term technical support or resistance and as a "reversion to the mean" over a rolling three- to five-year horizon.

The 21-Day Simple Moving Average is a short-term technical support or resistance used by many hedge fund traders to adjust positions. A stock above its 21-day SMA will likely move higher over a rolling three to five day horizon and vice versa.

The 50-Day Simple Moving Average is also a technical support or resistance used by many strategists and commentators in financial TV.

The 200-Day Simple Moving Average is another technical support or resistance and I consider this level as a shorter-term "reversion to the mean" over a rolling six- to 12-month horizon.

Crunching the Numbers with Richard Suttmeier: Earnings & Where to Buy & Where to Sell

This table presents the EPS estimates including date and before or after the close, and where to buy on weakness and where to sell on strength.

Value Levels, Pivots and Risky Levels are calculated based upon the last nine weekly closes (W), nine monthly closes (M), nine quarterly closes (Q), nine semiannual closes (S) and nine annual closes (A). I have one column for pivots, which is a magnet for the period shown. The columns to the left of the pivots are first and second value levels. The columns to the right of the pivots are first and second risky levels.

Investors who wish to buy a stock should use a good-until-canceled GTC limit order to buy weakness to a value level. Investors who want to sell a stock should use a GTC limit order to sell strength to a risky level.

At the time of publication, the author held no positions in any of the stocks mentioned.

This article represents the opinion of a contributor and not necessarily that of TheStreet or its editorial staff.

TheStreet Ratings team rates AMERICAN EXPRESS CO as a Buy with a ratings score of A. TheStreet Ratings Team has this to say about their recommendation:

"We rate AMERICAN EXPRESS CO (AXP) a BUY. This is based on the convergence of positive investment measures, which should help this stock outperform the majority of stocks that we rate. The company's strengths can be seen in multiple areas, such as its revenue growth, notable return on equity, impressive record of earnings per share growth, increase in net income and solid stock price performance. We feel these strengths outweigh the fact that the company has had generally high debt management risk by most measures that we evaluated."

Highlights from the analysis by TheStreet Ratings Team goes as follows:

  • AXP's revenue growth has slightly outpaced the industry average of 1.3%. Since the same quarter one year prior, revenues slightly increased by 2.8%. Growth in the company's revenue appears to have helped boost the earnings per share.
  • AMERICAN EXPRESS CO has improved earnings per share by 15.7% in the most recent quarter compared to the same quarter a year ago. The company has demonstrated a pattern of positive earnings per share growth over the past two years. We feel that this trend should continue. During the past fiscal year, AMERICAN EXPRESS CO increased its bottom line by earning $4.88 versus $3.87 in the prior year. This year, the market expects an improvement in earnings ($5.49 versus $4.88).
  • The net income growth from the same quarter one year ago has exceeded that of the S&P 500 and the Consumer Finance industry average. The net income increased by 11.9% when compared to the same quarter one year prior, going from $1,280.00 million to $1,432.00 million.
  • The return on equity has improved slightly when compared to the same quarter one year prior. This can be construed as a modest strength in the organization. When compared to other companies in the Consumer Finance industry and the overall market, AMERICAN EXPRESS CO's return on equity exceeds that of the industry average and significantly exceeds that of the S&P 500.
  • The stock has not only risen over the past year, it has done so at a faster pace than the S&P 500, reflecting the earnings growth and other positive factors similar to those we have cited here. Looking ahead, the stock's rise over the last year has already helped drive it to a level which is relatively expensive compared to the rest of its industry. We feel, however, that the other strengths this company displays justify these higher price levels.

Richard Suttmeier is the chief market strategist at ValuEngine.com. He has been a professional in the U.S. Capital Markets since 1972, transferring his engineering skills to the trading and investment world.

Suttmeier has an engineering degree from Georgia Tech and a Master of Science degree from Brooklyn Poly. He began his career in the financial services industry in 1972 trading U.S. Treasury securities in the primary dealer community. He became the first long bond trader for Bache in 1978, and formed the Government Bond Department at LF Rothschild in 1981, helping establish that firm as a primary dealer in 1986. This experience gives him the insights to be an expert on monetary policy, which he features in his newsletters, and market commentary.

Suttmeier's industry licenses include, Series 7 and Registered Principal (Series 24). He has been the Chief Market Strategist for ValuEngine.com since 2008 and often appears on financial TV.

Click here for details on Suttmeier's "Buy and Trade" investment strategy.

Richard Suttmeier can be reached at RSuttmeier@Gmail.com

More from Opinion

7 Takeaways From Google's $550-Million Investment in Alibaba Rival JD.com

7 Takeaways From Google's $550-Million Investment in Alibaba Rival JD.com

It's Just Not Smart For Investors to Ignore the Threat of a Trade War

It's Just Not Smart For Investors to Ignore the Threat of a Trade War

To Think a Trade War's Still Just a Threat Is the Dumbest Thing on Wall Street

To Think a Trade War's Still Just a Threat Is the Dumbest Thing on Wall Street

Flashback Friday in Politics: Trade Wars, Manafort, Immigration Dominate Minds

Flashback Friday in Politics: Trade Wars, Manafort, Immigration Dominate Minds

Microsoft and Sony's Rumored Game Console Plans Bode Well for AMD

Microsoft and Sony's Rumored Game Console Plans Bode Well for AMD