The stock closed Friday at $42.43, up almost 1%. Although shares are up 4% year to date, they trail the S&P 500's 7% gain. And in the last three years and five years, Coca-Cola stock has gained only 10% and 13%, respectively. This is while, during the same span, the S&P has gained 53% and 110%.
PepsiCo (PEP), whose shares have gained just 12% in both the past three and five years, hasn't fared any better. Both soft-drink giants are struggling with slumping sales in their carbonated beverage business.
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The problem hasn't been Coca-Cola as much as it has been an industry that is in transition. Consumers are moving away from sodas in favor of healthier alternatives like tea and sports drinks. This has contributed to a prolonged environment of weak volumes and compressed margins.
Coca-Cola has an answer, however. The company has begun to show that it is more than just a North American soft drink company. This is even though it has increased its global market share in nonalcoholic/ready-to-drink beverages for 26 consecutive quarters.
With the stock trading at around $42 with a P/E of 22, which is 3 points lower than the industry average, Coca-Cola is a solid buy. On the basis of long-term margin expansion and 3% to 4% volume growth, these shares should trade at $46 by the end of the year.