Why Alpha Natural Resources (ANR) Stock Is Slumping This Afternoon

NEW YORK (TheStreet) --Shares of Alpha Natural Resources Inc. (ANR) are falling -6.20% to $3.40 in early afternoon trading on Tuesday after Morgan Stanley (MS) issued a warning that metallurgical coal prices may rebound more slowly than the firm had previously anticipated. 

Commodity forecasters at Morgan Stanley cut their outlook on metallurgical coal prices to $133 from $160 per ton for 2015, as so far this year Chinese imports have been weak, the Fly on the Wall reports.

The firm cut its price target on Alpha Natural resources to $4 from $5, and also cut the price targets of Walter Energy (WLT) to $16 from $26, and Arch Coal  (ACI) to $2 from $3.

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Other coal stocks declining today include Arch Coal Inc. down -4.41% to $3.25, Cloud Peak Energy Inc. (CLD), lower by -1.10% to $17.05, and Walter Energy Inc. down -7.15% to $5.71.

Separately, TheStreet Ratings team rates ALPHA NATURAL RESOURCES INC as a Sell with a ratings score of D. TheStreet Ratings Team has this to say about their recommendation:

"We rate ALPHA NATURAL RESOURCES INC (ANR) a SELL. This is driven by several weaknesses, which we believe should have a greater impact than any strengths, and could make it more difficult for investors to achieve positive results compared to most of the stocks we cover. The company's weaknesses can be seen in multiple areas, such as its poor profit margins, weak operating cash flow and generally disappointing historical performance in the stock itself."

Highlights from the analysis by TheStreet Ratings Team goes as follows:

  • The gross profit margin for ALPHA NATURAL RESOURCES INC is currently extremely low, coming in at 5.92%. It has decreased from the same quarter the previous year. Along with this, the net profit margin of -5.00% is significantly below that of the industry average.
  • Net operating cash flow has significantly decreased to -$53.96 million or 182.51% when compared to the same quarter last year. In addition, when comparing to the industry average, the firm's growth rate is much lower.
  • ANR's stock share price has done very poorly compared to where it was a year ago: Despite any rallies, the net result is that it is down by 31.90%, which is also worse that the performance of the S&P 500 Index. Investors have so far failed to pay much attention to the earnings improvements the company has managed to achieve over the last quarter. Naturally, the overall market trend is bound to be a significant factor. However, in one sense, the stock's sharp decline last year is a positive for future investors, making it cheaper (in proportion to its earnings over the past year) than most other stocks in its industry. But due to other concerns, we feel the stock is still not a good buy right now.
  • The company's current return on equity greatly increased when compared to its ROE from the same quarter one year prior. This is a signal of significant strength within the corporation. Compared to other companies in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry and the overall market, ALPHA NATURAL RESOURCES INC's return on equity significantly trails that of both the industry average and the S&P 500.
  • ANR, with its decline in revenue, underperformed when compared the industry average of 3.2%. Since the same quarter one year prior, revenues fell by 16.6%. The declining revenue has not hurt the company's bottom line, with increasing earnings per share.
  • You can view the full analysis from the report here: ANR Ratings Report

 

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