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A version of this program last aired Dec. 23, 2013.
NEW YORK (TheStreet) -- With all of the global uncertainty, earnings alone will not be enough to guide you through next week's trading, Jim Cramer told his Mad Money TV show viewers Friday as he laid out his game plan. Cramer said that all eyes need to be on the U.S. and Russia and whether global uncertainties will send investors fleeing to safety or let them continue the rally that's already in progress.
That said, Cramer will be watching Halliburton (HAL) on Monday, saying that he'd be a buyer on any weekend weakness. He was less optimistic about Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG) and Netflix (NFLX), both of which have run up ahead of their quarterly results.
Next, on Wednesday, it's Boeing (BA) reporting. Cramer said he'd be a buyer on weakness in Boeing as this stock will certainly be higher two months from now. Also on Wednesday is Facebook (FB), another stock Cramer said he'd just own for the long term.
Then, on Thursday, it's American Airlines (AAL), a stock Cramer said is cheap, along with both Ford (F) and General Motors (GM) reporting. Cramer said he prefers GM, another Action Alerts PLUS position, over Ford, but noted that both should report good numbers. Also Thursday, Caterpillar (CAT) reports. Cramer said he's bullish on Caterpillar as well.
Rounding out the week will be durable goods orders on Friday. Cramer said he's using this number to begin "Fed watch" to try and determine when the Federal Reserve is likely to begin raising interest rates.
Investing Like a Pro
Individual investors can not only invest like the pros, they can beat them, too, Cramer said, detailing the methods to his madness.
Cramer said it doesn't take a lot of effort to invest one's own money, just a few hours a week for research, the "homework," as he so often calls it. But the results from that research will bear far more fruit than blindly dumping money into an index fund or, worse, a bond fund in a time of historically low interest rates.
Where can investors find their research? Fortunately, it's practically everywhere, said Cramer, on sites like CNBC.com, TheStreet.com, Yahoo! Finance and others, as well as on the Web sites of every publicly traded company.
When starting out, Cramer recommended using the 52-week high list. The new highs list shows stocks with true momentum, said Cramer, especially in a bad market. But that does not mean that investors should just blindly chase every stock on that list. Instead, research will still need to be done to separate the truly great stocks from the ones that are just lucky.
After researching the new high list and picking out the true winners, Cramer said the next step is determining when to buy them. He said a pullback of at least 5% is usually a good entry point, especially when that pullback is caused by general market weakness. You should only buy stocks that have pulled back from the new high list if you're confident they'll make a comeback, he continued.
Cramer said he always advises adding to a position on weakness, then trimming those positions into strength. A broad, market-wide sell off provides an excellent entry point for the former, he concluded.
Look for the Insiders
Cramer's next trick for investors, look for stocks with strong insider buying. Company executives are no dummies, explained Cramer. If they're buying their company's stock, then maybe you should, too.
Cramer said executives can sell company stock for all sorts of reasons. But buying, especially in large quantities, should be a clear signal that execs are highly confident in their outlook and are putting their own money on the line to prove it.
This is especially true of stocks at or near the 52-week high list, said Cramer. If a stock is already at sky-high valuations, and insiders are still buying, that is a powerful endorsement. There is nothing more telling than when an insider backs up the truck for his own stock when its sitting at a high.
Avoid paying too much attention to small, token purchases, Cramer cautioned. Look for only large, meaningful insider purchases. Sometimes execs want to make it look like they have confidence in their stocks. But when they actually do have conviction, that's the time to follow their lead.
Continuing on the insider buying theme, Cramer's next trick is to look for a special type of insider buying, one that involves a stock with a huge short interest.
Cramer explained that short-sellers must have a lot of conviction in order to bet that a stock is heading lower. The downside of shorting a stock is infinite, while going long on a stock limits losses at zero. Short-sellers also risk a short squeeze, a bit of good news about a company that sends shares high enough that those short the stock are forced to cover their positions.
The dynamics of short-selling makes insider buying all the more interesting, said Cramer. When lots of people are betting against a company and an executive starts buying, Cramer said that's like drawing a line in the sand and saying, "Our stock goes this low and no lower."
Cramer said any time investors see a large short interest coupled with meaningful, not token, insider buying, they should perk up and start the research immediately. While short-sellers are smart people, they often know less than those in charge of running the company, noted Cramer.
Cramer offered a caveat to betting against the short-sellers, however: Avoid hot-button stocks where the short interest is simply too large to overcome. At the height of the financial crisis in 2008, Cramer noted that short-sellers were able to overrun many bank stocks, thanks in part to the removal of protections like the uptick rule, which helped to slow these so-called "bear raids."
Homegamers can still find opportunities where the short-sellers have overreached, especially in stocks that pay a solid dividend. This often helps to deter short sellers which must pay the dividend on the shares they've borrowed, concluded Cramer.
How to Trade
Cramer's next tip for investors: Learn how to trade. He said learning how to trade stocks on a shorter-term basis will make homegamers better investors overall, as it will teach them many valuable lessons, especially in markets with large, volatile swings in every direction.
Cramer said his normal investment strategy would dictate that if an investor wants to purchase 300 shares of a company, buy them in increments of 100 shares at a time over a period of weeks or months using broad-based selloffs as cues for the purchases.
However, a trading strategy is a little different, said Cramer. Trading around a core position dictates that if an investor owns 300 shares, he or she sells 50 of them anytime the stock moves higher by 3%. Then as shares retreat by 3%, an investor can buy them back on the cheap.
Cramer said that trading in smaller increments may not seem like much, but over time the profits can add up quickly. In today's markets, where stocks can soar one day and be thrown out with the bath water the next, it likely won't take long before homegamers begin to see their trading strategies pay off.
When to Sell
Cramer's last trick for investors involved the critical question of when to sell a hot stock. He said there's certainly a lot of money to be made by owning a hot momentum stock, but investors have to know when it's time to leave the table or risk losing it all.
Such was the case with high-fliers including Chipotle and Intuitive Surgical (ISRG), two long-time Cramer faves that fell from grace in spectacular fashion.
So how can investors tell when a momentum stock has peaked? Cramer said one thing they can look for is the analyst coverage. For smaller, more speculative stocks, Cramer said the rule of thumb is that when a stock has a half dozen or so analysts covering it, the stock will begin to peter out because it's become too well known.
This was the case with Hansen Natural (HANS), one of the hottest stocks between 2004 and the first half of 2006, noted Cramer. The whole run higher, the skeptics were warning that the energy drink maker's momentum would fade. But with analysts still initiating coverage and touting the stock, it continued its run higher.
That was until May 10, 2006, recalled Cramer, when Hansen stock split five-for-one, but was also picked up by Goldman Sachs, the fourth analyst to begin coverage. After Goldman brought Hansen into the spotlight, Cramer said the stock immediately started to cool off because it had hit that critical mass of analyst coverage.
Small momentum stocks are worth owning, said Cramer,. But when investors see analysts jumping on the bandwagon, it's time to get out.
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-- Written by Scott Rutt in Washington, D.C.
To email Scott about this article, click here: Scott Rutt