Barbarian At The Gate: Northern (NTRS)

Editor's Note: Any reference to TheStreet Ratings and its underlying recommendation does not reflect the opinion of TheStreet, Inc. or any of its contributors including Jim Cramer or Stephanie Link.

Trade-Ideas LLC identified Northern ( NTRS) as a "barbarian at the gate" (strong stocks crossing above resistance with today's range greater than 200%) candidate. In addition to specific proprietary factors, Trade-Ideas identified Northern as such a stock due to the following factors:

  • NTRS has an average dollar-volume (as measured by average daily share volume multiplied by share price) of $42.5 million.
  • NTRS has traded 186,009 shares today.
  • NTRS traded in a range 200.2% of the normal price range with a price range of $1.45.
  • NTRS traded above its daily resistance level (quality: 70 days, meaning that the stock is crossing a resistance level set by the last 70 calendar days. The resistance price is defined by the Price - $0.01 at the time of the signal).

Stocks matching the 'Barbarian at the Gate' criteria are worthwhile stocks to watch for a variety of factors including historical back testing and volatility. Trade-Ideas targets these opportunities because the stock is exhibiting an unusual behavior while displaying positive price action. In this case, the stock crossed an important inflection point; namely, 'resistance' while at the same time the range of the stock's movement in price is more than twice its normal size. This large range foreshadows a possible continuation as the stock moves higher.

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More details on NTRS:

Northern Trust Corporation, through its subsidiaries, provides investment management, asset and fund administration, banking solutions, and fiduciary services for corporations, institutions, and affluent individuals worldwide. The stock currently has a dividend yield of 2.1%. NTRS has a PE ratio of 20.3. Currently there are 2 analysts that rate Northern a buy, 4 analysts rate it a sell, and 10 rate it a hold.

The average volume for Northern has been 1.1 million shares per day over the past 30 days. Northern has a market cap of $14.7 billion and is part of the financial sector and financial services industry. The stock has a beta of 1.31 and a short float of 1.3% with 4.00 days to cover. Shares are up 0.6% year-to-date as of the close of trading on Monday.

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TheStreetRatings.com Analysis:

TheStreet Quant Ratings rates Northern as a buy. The company's strengths can be seen in multiple areas, such as its revenue growth, growth in earnings per share, reasonable valuation levels, good cash flow from operations and expanding profit margins. Although the company may harbor some minor weaknesses, we feel they are unlikely to have a significant impact on results.

Highlights from the ratings report include:
  • The revenue growth came in higher than the industry average of 5.2%. Since the same quarter one year prior, revenues slightly increased by 5.1%. This growth in revenue appears to have trickled down to the company's bottom line, improving the earnings per share.
  • NORTHERN TRUST CORP has improved earnings per share by 11.9% in the most recent quarter compared to the same quarter a year ago. The company has demonstrated a pattern of positive earnings per share growth over the past two years. We feel that this trend should continue. During the past fiscal year, NORTHERN TRUST CORP increased its bottom line by earning $2.99 versus $2.81 in the prior year. This year, the market expects an improvement in earnings ($3.30 versus $2.99).
  • Net operating cash flow has significantly increased by 72.32% to $538.50 million when compared to the same quarter last year. In addition, NORTHERN TRUST CORP has also vastly surpassed the industry average cash flow growth rate of 12.73%.
  • The gross profit margin for NORTHERN TRUST CORP is currently very high, coming in at 95.17%. It has increased from the same quarter the previous year. Regardless of the strong results of the gross profit margin, the net profit margin of 16.63% trails the industry average.

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