Investors Want Transparency in Lululemon Earnings, Not in Yoga Pants

NEW YORK (TheStreet) -- Today, I crunch the numbers on five companies that are reporting this week, including Finisar (FNSR), H&R Block (HRB), Lululemon (LULU), Pep Boys (PEP) and Ulta Salon (ULTA.).

Here are the five profiles; two "crunching the numbers" tables follow.

Finisar ($24.69), up 3.2% year to date. Analysts expect the fiber-optics company to report earnings per share of 30 cents after the closing bell on Thursday. The stock set a multiyear intraday high at $28.85 on April 24, and traded as low as $21.12 on May 9. It has been trading back and forth around its 200-day simple moving average now at $23.66 since May 7.

The weekly chart is shifts to negative given a close this week below its five-week modified moving average at $24.56 with its 200-week SMA at $19.63. Annual and quarterly value levels are $20.54 and $18.80, respectively, with a weekly pivot at $24.55 and monthly and annual risky levels at $25.19 and $25.60, respectively.

H&R Block ($30.31), up 4.4% year to date. Analysts expect the tax preparer to report EPS of $3.19 before the opening bell on Wednesday. The stock set an all-time intraday high at $32.42 on Feb. 26, and traded as low as $26.92 on April 11. It has been trading back and forth around its 200-day-SMA at $28.85 since March 26.

The weekly chart is positive with its five-week MMA at $29.24. Semiannual and annual value levels are $21.42 and $18.08, respectively, with a weekly pivot at $30.28, and monthly and quarterly risky levels at $32.36 and $33.56, respectively.

Lululemon ($44.42), down 25% year to date. Analysts expect the yoga pants retailer to report EPS of 32 cents before the opening bell on Thursday. The stock set an all-time high at $77.75 on Oct. 4, and has been below its 200-day SMA since Dec 11 on the transparency issues on some yoga pants. The stock traded as low as $42.28 on May 7 with its 200-day SMA now at $58.22.

The weekly chart is negative with its five-week MMA at $46.18. The stock has been below its 200-week SMA at $56.62 since mid-January. Weekly and monthly value levels are $39.11 and $33.90, respectively, with quarterly and annual risky levels at $53.04 and $99.58, respectively.

Pep Boys ($10.63), down 12% year to date. Analysts expect the auto-parts retailer to report EPS of 3 cents after the closing bell on Monday. The stock has been below its 200-day SMA at $12.07 since April 10, with the stock trading as low as $9.72 on May 21.

The weekly chart shifts to positive given a close this week above its five-week MMA at $10.70 with upside to the 200-week SMA at $11.66. Weekly and quarterly value levels are $8.80 and $8.04, respectively, with quarterly and semiannual risky levels at $11.22 and $13.72, respectively.

Ulta Salon ($86.25), down 11% year to date. Analysts expect the retailer of cosmetics to report EPS of 74 cents after the closing bell on Tuesday. The stock set an all-time intraday high at $132.72 on Nov. 18, and then had a huge gap down on Dec. 6, well below its 200-day SMA at $101.05, trading as low as $80.35 on Jan. 22. The stock closed above its 200-day setting a 2014 intraday high at $106.83 on March 20, but has been back below its 200-day since March 26.

The weekly chart is negative but oversold with its five-week MMA at $87.74 and its 200-week SMA at $77.89. Weekly and monthly value levels are $82.86 and $76.69, respectively, with quarterly and semiannual risky levels at $102.71 and $120.79, respectively.

Crunching the Numbers with Richard Suttmeier: Moving Averages & Stochastics

This table provides the technical status for the stocks profiled in today's report.

There are five columns with moving average titles: Five-Week Modified Moving Average, 21-Day Simple Moving Average, 50-Day Simple Moving Average, 200-Day Simple Moving Average and the 200-Week Simple Moving Average.

The column labeled 12x3x3 Weekly Slow Stochastics shows the pattern on each weekly chart with readings from Oversold, Rising, Overbought, Declining or Flat.

Interpretations: Stocks below a moving average are listed in red.

Five-Week Modified Moving Average (MMA) is one of two indicators that define whether or not a weekly chart profile is positive, neutral or negative. The other is the status of the 12x3x3 weekly slow stochastic.

A stock with a positive technical rating is above its five-week MMA with rising or overbought stochastics.

A stock with a negative technical rating is below its five-week MMA with declining or oversold stochastics.

A stock with a neutral technical rating has a profile that is not positive or negative.

The 200-Week Simple Moving Average (SMA) is considered a long-term technical support or resistance and as a "reversion to the mean" over a rolling three to five year horizon.

The 21-Day Simple Moving Average is a short-term technical support or resistance used by many hedge fund traders to adjust positions. A stock above its 21-day SMA will likely move higher over a rolling three to five day horizon and vice versa.

The 50-Day Simple Moving Average is also a technical support or resistance used by many strategists and commentators in financial TV.

The 200-Day Simple Moving Average is another technical support or resistance and I consider this level as a shorter-term "reversion to the mean" over a rolling six- to 12-month horizon.

Crunching the Numbers with Richard Suttmeier: Earnings & Where to Buy & Where to Sell

This table presents the EPS estimates including date and before or after the close, and where to buy on weakness and where to sell on strength.

EPS Date is the day the company reports their quarterly results.

EPS Estimate is the earnings per share estimate from Wall Street analysts.

Value Levels, Pivots and Risky Levels are calculated based upon the last nine weekly closes (W), nine monthly closes (M), nine quarterly closes (Q), nine semiannual closes (S) and nine annual closes (A). I have one column for pivots, which is a magnet for the period shown. The columns to the left of the pivots are first and second value levels. The columns to the right of the pivots are first and second risky levels.

Investors who wish to buy a stock should use a good-until-canceled GTC limit order to buy weakness to a value level. Investors who want to sell a stock should use a GTC limit order to sell strength to a risky level.

>>Read More: As Apple Stock Gets Sliced, It's Not Time to Split

>>Read More: There's No Justification for Crude Oil Prices in the Stratosphere

>>Read More: Aegerion's Stock May See a Resurgence After Hitting Bottom From Controversies

At the time of publication, the author held no positions in any of the stocks mentioned.

Follow @Suttmeier

This article represents the opinion of a contributor and not necessarily that of TheStreet or its editorial staff


Richard Suttmeier is the chief market strategist at ValuEngine.com. He has been a professional in the U.S. Capital Markets since 1972, transferring his engineering skills to the trading and investment world.

Suttmeier has an engineering degree from Georgia Tech and a Master of Science degree from Brooklyn Poly. He began his career in the financial services industry in 1972 trading U.S. Treasury securities in the primary dealer community. He became the first long bond trader for Bache in 1978, and formed the Government Bond Department at LF Rothschild in 1981, helping establish that firm as a primary dealer in 1986. This experience gives him the insights to be an expert on monetary policy, which he features in his newsletters, and market commentary.

Suttmeier's industry licenses include, Series 7 and Registered Principal (Series 24). He has been the Chief Market Strategist for ValuEngine.com since 2008 and often appears on financial TV.

Click here for details on Suttmeier's "Buy and Trade" investment strategy.

Richard Suttmeier can be reached at RSuttmeier@Gmail.com

More from Opinion

These 5 Tech Giants Still Aren't That Expensive

These 5 Tech Giants Still Aren't That Expensive

50 Stocks That Could Be Shredded If a U.S. Trade War With China Ignites

50 Stocks That Could Be Shredded If a U.S. Trade War With China Ignites

Intel CEO Brian Krzanich's Ouster Proves CEOs Aren't Above the Rules

Intel CEO Brian Krzanich's Ouster Proves CEOs Aren't Above the Rules

Red Hat CFO Tells TheStreet: Tech Trends Are Still in Our Favor

Red Hat CFO Tells TheStreet: Tech Trends Are Still in Our Favor

Throwback Thursday: Intel Edition

Throwback Thursday: Intel Edition