Newmont Mining (NEM) Stock Is Up On Merger Deal Speculation

NEW YORK (TheStreet) -- Newmont Mining (NEM) shares are up 6.6% to $25.10 in early market trading on speculation that a merger deal between Newmont Mining and Toronto-based Barrick Gold Corp  (ABX) could be revived, following Friday's reports that the deal was dead.

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The Wall Street Journal reported that the world's top two gold producers were breaking off talks on Friday. Bloomberg reported today that the talks broke down after the two companies could not agree on which gold mines they should spin off in the event the deal went through.

Today, Bloomberg is also reporting that the talks are not dead and that the two companies hope to have a deal done before their respective annual meetings -- Newmont meets April 23, Barrick's meeting is scheduled for April 30.

TheStreet Ratings team rates NEWMONT MINING CORP as a Sell with a ratings score of D+. TheStreet Ratings Team has this to say about their recommendation:

"We rate NEWMONT MINING CORP (NEM) a SELL. This is driven by several weaknesses, which we believe should have a greater impact than any strengths, and could make it more difficult for investors to achieve positive results compared to most of the stocks we cover. The company's weaknesses can be seen in multiple areas, such as its deteriorating net income, disappointing return on equity, weak operating cash flow, generally disappointing historical performance in the stock itself and feeble growth in its earnings per share."

Highlights from the analysis by TheStreet Ratings Team goes as follows:

  • The company, on the basis of change in net income from the same quarter one year ago, has significantly underperformed when compared to that of the S&P 500 and the Metals & Mining industry. The net income has significantly decreased by 273.3% when compared to the same quarter one year ago, falling from $673.00 million to -$1,166.00 million.
  • Return on equity has greatly decreased when compared to its ROE from the same quarter one year prior. This is a signal of major weakness within the corporation. Compared to other companies in the Metals & Mining industry and the overall market, NEWMONT MINING CORP's return on equity significantly trails that of both the industry average and the S&P 500.
  • Net operating cash flow has significantly decreased to $382.00 million or 54.63% when compared to the same quarter last year. In addition, when comparing the cash generation rate to the industry average, the firm's growth is significantly lower.
  • Despite any intermediate fluctuations, we have only bad news to report on this stock's performance over the last year: it has tumbled by 29.70%, worse than the S&P 500's performance. Consistent with the plunge in the stock price, the company's earnings per share are down 280.00% compared to the year-earlier quarter. Naturally, the overall market trend is bound to be a significant factor. However, in one sense, the stock's sharp decline last year is a positive for future investors, making it cheaper (in proportion to its earnings over the past year) than most other stocks in its industry. But due to other concerns, we feel the stock is still not a good buy right now.
  • NEWMONT MINING CORP has experienced a steep decline in earnings per share in the most recent quarter in comparison to its performance from the same quarter a year ago. The company has reported a trend of declining earnings per share over the past two years. However, the consensus estimate suggests that this trend should reverse in the coming year. During the past fiscal year, NEWMONT MINING CORP swung to a loss, reporting -$5.06 versus $3.78 in the prior year. This year, the market expects an improvement in earnings ($0.78 versus -$5.06).
  • You can view the full analysis from the report here: NEM Ratings Report
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