7 Moon-Shot Stocks: Netflix, Under Armour, More

NEW YORK (TheStreet) -- Seven companies had moon-shot rallies after reporting quarterly results. Leading the trip to the moon were Netflix (NFLX) and Under Armour (UA), with gains of 23.5% and 22% respectively. All in just a few days.

But how can investors profit from these kinds of companies?

I hunt for these kinds of stocks by profiling pre-earnings stocks using fundamental data and chart patterns. I want to know where to buy on weakness and where to sell on strength. My analysis is available in full at my Web site, ValuEngine.com.

Today I have updated my analysis of seven post-earnings moon-shot companies. Tomorrow I will cover the stocks that were sent to the earnings woodshed following negative reactions to quarterly results.

Chipotle (CMG) ($540.59, up 11.6% since Jan. 29) beat earnings per share estimates by a penny, earning $2.53 after the close of trading on Jan. 30. The stock popped to a new all-time intraday high at $568.90 the next morning. The weekly chart is neutral, with its five-week modified moving average at $528.52, with declining stochastics and its 200-week simple moving average at $318.33. Chipotle has a buy rating and is 19.3% overvalued, with a gain of 74.3% over the last 12 months. The stock has an elevated 12-month trailing price-to-earnings ratio at 51.4. Weekly and semiannual value levels are $534.33 and $510.69 with monthly and semiannual risky levels at $594.81 and $601.33.

Facebook (FB) ($62.75, up 13.8% since Jan. 28) missed EPS estimates by a penny, earning 20 cents a share after trading hours on Jan. 29. The stock rallied on the outlook for mobile applications, and set a new all-time intraday high at $63.77 on Feb. 3. The weekly chart is positive but overbought, with its five-week MMA at $57.04. Facebook has a hold rating with a gain of 123.2% over the last 12 months. The stock has an elevated 12-month trailing P/E ratio at 101.8. I show weekly and monthly risky levels at $65.90 and $71.25.

Google (GOOG) ($1,138.16, up 2.8% since Jan. 29) missed EPS estimates by 42 cents, earning $9.92 a share after hours on Jan. 30. The stock offered solid guidance and traded to an all-time intraday high at $1,186.54 on Jan. 31. The weekly chart is positive but overbought, with its five-week MMA at $1,119.87 and the 200-week SMA at $679.23. Google has a hold rating and is 41.3% overvalued, with a gain of 50% over the last 12 months. The stock has an elevated 12-month trailing P/E ratio at 31.2. Annual value levels are $1043.3 and $978.09 with a monthly pivot at $1142.95 and a weekly risky level at $1185.97.

Michael Kors (KORS) ($89.91, up 12.5% since Jan. 31) beat EPS estimates by 25 cents, earning $1.11 a share before the markets opened on Feb 4. The stock traded to an all-time intraday high at $93.18 on Feb. 4. The weekly chart is positive, with the five-week MMA at $81.91. The stock has a hold rating with, a gain of 63.7% over the last 12 months. The luxury retailer has an elevated 12-month trailing P/E ratio at 32.9. My weekly value level is $81.65, with a monthly pivot at $87.74.

Netflix ($405.91, up 23.5% since Jan. 21) beat EPS estimates by 14 cents, earning 79 cents a share after hours on Jan. 22. The streaming media company popped above its 50-day SMA at $364.22 to a new all-time intraday high at $412.40 on Jan. 31. The weekly chart is positive, with its five-week MMA at $373.89 and its 200-week SMA at $173.05. The stock has a buy rating and is 3.8% undervalued, with a gain of 132.3% over the last 12 months. The stock has an elevated 12-month trailing P/E ratio at 178.0. Weekly, quarterly and semiannual value levels are $388.26, $325.48 and $328.21, with a monthly risky level at $423.48.

Under Armour ($104.65, up 22% since Jan. 28) beat EPS estimates by 5 cents, earning 59 cents a share before markets opened on Jan. 30. The sports apparel company popped to a new all-time intraday high at $108.72 on Jan. 31. The weekly chart is positive, with its five-week MMA at $92.01 and its 200-week SMA at $45.74. The stock has a hold rating and is 74.4% overvalued, with a gain of 109.5% over the last 12 months. The stock has an elevated 12-month trailing P/E ratio at 69.5. Quarterly and semiannual value levels are $89.34, $86.05 and $72.14, with weekly and monthly pivots at $98.61 and $103.40.

Yum! Brands (YUM) ($72.06, up 7.3% since Jan. 31) beat EPS estimates by 6 cents, earning 86 cents a share after trading hours on Feb. 3. The stock was well below its 200-day SMA at $71.23 before earnings were announced, then closed above that milestone level on Feb. 4. The weekly chart is neutral, with its five-week MMA at $71.65 and the 200-week SMA at $60.09. The stock as a buy rating and is 9.3% overvalued, with a gain of 8.9% over the last 12 months. The stock has an elevated 12-month trailing P/E ratio at 23.8. My weekly pivot is $68.92, with a monthly risky level at $74.22 and semiannual and quarterly risky levels at $80.68 and $81.49.

At the time of publication the author held no positions in any of the stocks mentioned.

This article represents the opinion of a contributor and not necessarily that of TheStreet or its editorial staff.

Richard Suttmeier is the chief market strategist at ValuEngine.com. He has been a professional in the U.S. Capital Markets since 1972, transferring his engineering skills to the trading and investment world.

Suttmeier has an engineering degree from Georgia Tech and a Master of Science degree from Brooklyn Poly. He began his career in the financial services industry in 1972 trading U.S. Treasury securities in the primary dealer community. He became the first long bond trader for Bache in 1978, and formed the Government Bond Department at LF Rothschild in 1981, helping establish that firm as a primary dealer in 1986. This experience gives him the insights to be an expert on monetary policy, which he features in his newsletters, and market commentary.

Suttmeier's industry licenses include, Series 7 and Registered Principal (Series 24). He has been the Chief Market Strategist for ValuEngine.com since 2008 and often appears on financial TV.

Click here for details on Suttmeier's "Buy and Trade" investment strategy.

Richard Suttmeier can be reached at RSuttmeier@Gmail.com

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