13 Earnings Profiles: Facebook, UPS & Exxon

NEW YORK (TheStreet) -- Today's pre-earnings buy-and-trade profile includes 13 companies representing nine sectors; three of the stocks are Dow components. My headline stocks are Facebook (FB), which report quarterly results after hours today, and United Parcel Service (UPS) and Exxon Mobil (XOM), which report their earnings premarket on Thursday.

The stock market remains vulnerable as 80.6% of all stocks are overvalued according to ValuEngine, with 42.6% overvalued by 20% or more.

Four of the stocks profiled today are in the computer and technology sector, which is 31.7% overvalued with an overweight rating, as 51.6% of the 1,125 stocks in the sector have buy or strong buy ratings.

Two stocks are in the transportation sector, which is 28.5% overvalued with an underweight rating, as 71.2% of the 170 stocks in the sector have sell or strong sell ratings.

Seven other sectors are represented by one stock each among today's 13 pre-earnings buy-and-trade profiles.

Citrix Systems (CTXS) ($58.73) Analysts expect the company to earn 79 cents a share after hours today. The tech stock is below its 50-day and 200-day simple moving averages at $59.62 and $64.32. The weekly chart is negative with the stock below its five-week modified moving average and its 200-week SMA at $59.93 and $66.98 with declining stochastics. Citrix has a buy rating, and is 17.6% undervalued with a loss of 17.8% over the last 12 months. Monthly and annual risky levels are $66.89, $68.20 and $71.60.

Facebook ($55.14) Analysts expect the company to earn 21 cents a share after hours today. The tech stock traded to an all-time intraday high at $59.31 on Jan. 22, then traded as low as $51.85 on Monday, then closed above its 50-day SMA at $52.72 with the 200-day SMA at $39.92. The weekly chart shifts to negative given a close this week below its five-week MMA at $53.81 with declining stochastics. Facebook has a hold rating with a gain of 69.8% over the last 12 months. My monthly pivot is $57.58.

Harley-Davidson (HOG) ($64.91) Analysts expect the company to earn 32 cents a share premarket Thursday. Harley represents the auto-tires-trucks sector which is 22.5% overvalued with an underweight rating, as 38.3% of the 94 stocks in the sector have sell or strong sell ratings. The stock traded to a 2014 high at $70.04 on Jan. 9, then declined to $63.27 on Monday between its 200-day and 50-day SMAs at $60.93 and $67.67. The weekly chart is negative with the stock below its five-week MMA at $66.52 with declining stochastics and its 200-week SMA at $44.51. Harley has a hold rating and is 14.8% overvalued with a gain of 22% over the last 12 months. My weekly and semiannual risky levels are $67.93, $68.36 and $69.16.

LAM Research (LRCX) ($51.22) Analysts expect the company to earn $1.03 a share after hours today. The tech stock traded to a 2014 high at $56.52 on Jan. 15, then declined to $50.33 on Monday between its 200-day and 50-day SMAs at $49.73 and $52.85. The weekly chart is negative, with the stock below its five-week MMA at $52.61 with declining stochastics and its 200-week SMA at $43.28. The stock has a buy rating and is 11.9% overvalued with a gain of 22% over the last 12 months. My semiannual value level is $49.29 with annual and quarterly pivots at $50.58 and $51.02 and monthly and semiannual risky levels at $54.55 and $59.11.

Landstar System (LSTR) ($56.74) Analysts expect the company to earn 63 cents a share premarket Thursday. The trucking company traded to a 2014 high at $59.39 on Jan. 22, then declined to $56.06 on Monday between its 200-day and 50-day SMAs at $54.79 and $56.49. The weekly chart is negative with the stock below its five-week MMA at $56.84 with declining stochastics and its 200-week SMA at $48.17. Landstar has a sell rating is 15.9% overvalued with a loss of 5% over the last 12 months. My annual value levels are $51.63 and $50.20 with a monthly pivot at $55.42 and semiannual and quarterly risky levels at $58.74 and $60.10 and $60.67.

3M (MMM) ($129.81) Analysts expect the company to earn $1.61 a share premarket Thursday. 3M is in the multi-sector conglomerates sector, which is 26.3% overvalued with an overweight rating, as 43.1% of the 51 stocks in the sector have buy or strong buy ratings. The stock ended 2013 with an all-time intraday high at $140.43 then declined to $128.66 on Monday between its 200-day and 50-day SMAs at $119.63 and $133.12. The weekly chart is negative, with the stock below its five-week MMA at $132.47 with declining stochastics and its 200-week SMA at $95.12. 3M has a hold rating and is 23.9% overvalued with a gain of 29% over the last 12 months. My semiannual and annual value levels are $120.48 and $110.02 with a semiannual pivot at $130.25 and quarterly and monthly risky levels at $135.97 and $141.93.

Qualcomm (QCOM) ($71.99) Analysts expect the company to earn $1.10 a share after hours today. Qualcomm traded to a 2014 high at $75.90 on Jan. 23, then declined to $71.75 on Jan. 28 below its 50-day SMA at $73.28 with the 200-day SMA at $67.30. The weekly chart shifts to negative with the stock below its five-week MMA at $72.98 with declining stochastics and the 200-week SMA at $57.07. The stock has a hold rating and is 4.8% overvalued, with a gain of 13.1% over the last 12 months. My semiannual value levels are $69.51 and $64.35 with a monthly pivot at $74.91 and quarterly risky level at $76.84.

Raytheon (RTN) ($89.21) Analysts expect the company to earn $1.35 a share premarket on Thursday. The stock represents the aerospace sector, which is 27.9% overvalued with an underweight rating, as 79.5% of the 73 stocks in the sector have sell or strong sell ratings. The stock traded to a 2014 high at $92.69 on Jan. 22, then declined to $87.64 on Jan. 27, with the 50-day and 200-day SMAs at $88.44 and $75.87. The weekly chart shifts to negative on a close this week below the five-week MMA at $88.35 with declining stochastics and the 200-week SMAs at $56.08. Raytheon has a sell rating and is 39.1% overvalued with a gain of 62.6% over the last 12 months. Annual value levels are $82.01 and $72.10 with a quarterly pivot at $86.61 and monthly risky level at $96.29.

Sherwin Williams (SHW) ($191.68) Analysts expect the company to earn $1.27 a share premarket on Thursday. The provider of paint is in the construction sector, which is 14.3% overvalued with an underweight rating, as 55.8% of the 154 stocks in the sector have sell or strong sell ratings. The stock traded to a 2014 high at $198.47 on Jan. 22, then fell to $189 31 on Jan. 27 above its 50-day and 200-day SMAs at $185.70 and $181.87. The weekly chart is positive with the five-week MMA at $188.40 with rising stochastics and the 200-week SMA at $119.86. Sherwin has a sell rating and is 17.3% overvalued, with a gain of 16.8% over the last 12 months. Monthly and semiannual value levels are $179.54 and $176.03 with a semiannual pivot at $195.21 and quarterly risky level at $230.38.

Under Armour (UA) (85.78) Analysts expect the company to earn 53 cents a share premarket on Thursday. The sports apparel company is in the consumer discretionary sector which is 26.2% overvalued with an equal-weight rating, as 85.5% of the 390 stocks in the sector have hold ratings. Under Armour traded to its 2014 high at $88.77 on Jan. 10, then slipped to $81.95 on Jan. 17. The weekly chart shifts to negative given a close this week below its five-week MMA at $84.38 with declining stochastics and the 200-week SMA at $45.18. The stock has a hold rating is 37.8% overvalued with a gain of 79% over the last 12 months. My semiannual value level is $72.14 with semiannual, quarterly and monthly risky levels at $86.05, $89.34 and $93.45.

United Parcel Service ($95.81) Analysts expect the company to earn $1.25 a share premarket Thursday. UPS set its all-time intraday high at $105.37 on Dec. 31, then traded as low as $95.01 between its 200-day and 50-day SMAs at $91.91 and $101.53. The weekly chart is negative, with the stock below its five-week MMA at $99.41 with declining stochastics and its 200-week SMA at $76.53. UPS has a hold rating and is 22% overvalued, with a gain of 16.1% over the last 12 months. My annual value level is $77.71 quarterly and semiannual risky levels at $99.85, $100.46 and $103.68.

Visa (V) ($220.96) Analysts expect the company to earn $2.16 a share premarket Thursday. Visa is in the business services sector, which is 22.9% overvalued and which has an equal-weight rating, as 65.5% of the 226 in the sector have hold ratings. The stock traded to its 2014 high at $235.50 on Jan. 21, then declined to $215.12 above its 50-day and 200-day SMAs at $213.06 and $191.47. The weekly chart shifts to negative, with a close this week below its five-week MMA at $217.95 with declining stochastics and its 200-week SMA at $121.90. The stock has a hold rating and is 30.8% overvalued with a gain of 41.3% over the last 12 months. My semiannual value levels are $185.93 and $181.08 with a monthly pivot at $220.19 and quarterly risky level at $235.48.

Exxon Mobil ($95.65) Analysts expect the company to earn $1.90 a share premarket Thursday. Exxon is in the oils-energy sector and is 11.8% overvalued with an equal-weight rating, as 62.1% of the 538 stocks in the sector have hold ratings. Exxon traded to an all-time intraday high at $101.74 on Dec. 27, then traded as low as $94.77 on Jan. 28 between its 50-day and 200-day SMAs at $97.14 and $91.63. The weekly chart is negative with the five-week MMA at $96.79 with declining stochastics and its 200-week SMA at $81.81. Exxon has a hold rating and is 19.6% overvalued with a gain of 5% over the last 12 months. My semiannual value level is $91.91 with a monthly pivot at $96.18 and quarterly, semiannual and annual risky levels at $97.28 and $100.97 and $108.77.

At the time of publication the author held no positions in any of the stocks mentioned.

This article represents the opinion of a contributor and not necessarily that of TheStreet or its editorial staff

Richard Suttmeier is the chief market strategist at ValuEngine.com. He has been a professional in the U.S. Capital Markets since 1972, transferring his engineering skills to the trading and investment world.

Suttmeier has an engineering degree from Georgia Tech and a Master of Science degree from Brooklyn Poly. He began his career in the financial services industry in 1972 trading U.S. Treasury securities in the primary dealer community. He became the first long bond trader for Bache in 1978, and formed the Government Bond Department at LF Rothschild in 1981, helping establish that firm as a primary dealer in 1986. This experience gives him the insights to be an expert on monetary policy, which he features in his newsletters, and market commentary.

Suttmeier's industry licenses include, Series 7 and Registered Principal (Series 24). He has been the Chief Market Strategist for ValuEngine.com since 2008 and often appears on financial TV.

Click here for details on Suttmeier's "Buy and Trade" investment strategy.

Richard Suttmeier can be reached at RSuttmeier@Gmail.com

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