NEW YORK (Real Money) -- Immunity? That's what it seemed like yesterday when Caterpillar (CAT) didn't go down on those hideous November sales or when Herb Greenberg delineated the misdeeds of CEO Doug Oberhelman.
I like Caterpillar here; it is a stock that we own for Action Alerts PLUS because we think that the downside is minimal and the upside (from a pickup in orders, a restructuring or a firing of the CEO) takes the stock to the mid-$90s in a heartbeat.
The main thing you need to know about Caterpillar is the calendar. We are in "hope springs eternal" limbo. We have no Fed to wreck us, no Washington to torture us, no companies left to preannounce.
This is fertile ground to dream that 2014 could be a big up year for the earth-moving giant that will cause people who say, OK, I missed the runs in Emerson Electric (EMR), Parker-Hannifin (PH), Deere (DE), Boeing (BA), Honeywell (HON), even General Electric (GE), so I am going to buy this laggard.
They will do so because it is well behind the market, heavily shorted, and you are going to get new adherents and new themes such as the Merrill Lynch analyst who came out this morning and suggested that Caterpillar be bought on compression sales related to shale exploration and the Gulf of Mexico. In other words, the metals and mining weakness, which is still very much there (as you can tell from the price of minerals around the globe), will be offset by other lines of business.