NEW YORK (TheStreet) -- Last week I profiled 16 retail-oriented companies pre-earnings on Dec. 2 and Wednesday. Today I provide a scorecard for the eight that did not go to the earnings woodshed. Discount retailer Dollar General (DG) beat earnings estimates and traded to a new all-time intra-day high at $61.20 on Monday. Investors went nuts as Diamond Foods (DMND) beat estimates and set a 52-week intra-day high at $26.23 on Friday. The other winner was Mattress Firm (MFRM) which beat estimates and popped above its 200-day simple moving average at $36.24 trading as high as $41.83 on Friday.
Among the 16 stocks I profiled last Monday and Wednesday, only four traded higher by Monday's close, but the gain for Jos. A Bank (JOSB) was just 0.2%. The other four in today's scorecard lost between 0.4% and 4.0%. On Monday I wrote, Ulta Salon, Krispy Kreme, Express Lead Retailers to Earnings Woodshed and this group of eight fell in price by 7.1% to 25% into Friday's closes.
Among the eight stocks in today's post, four have buy ratings, three have hold ratings and one has a strong sell rating. Among the six with valuations three are overvalued by 29.2% to 43.4%. All eight have price gains of 30.9% to 95.8% over the last 12 months. All eight are above their 200-day SMAs indicating the risk of a reversion to the mean.
Dollar General ($61.08 vs. $56.48 on Dec. 3) beat EPS estimates by 2 cents earning 72 cents a share premarket on Dec. 5. The buy rated stock popped above its 50-day SMA at $58.17 setting a new multi-year intra-day high at $61.20 on Monday and up 8.1% since Dec.3. The discount retailer is 17.2% overvalued and has gained 31.2% over the last 12 months and has been above its 200-day SMA now at $54.02 since March 20. My monthly and semiannual value levels are $58.77 and $56.97 with my quarterly risky level at $62.53.
Diamond Foods ($26.01 vs. $23.41 on Dec. 3) beat EPS estimates by a penny earning 18 cents a share in the afterhours on Thursday. The hold rated stock set a new 52-week intra-day high at $26.23 on Friday ending Monday up 11.1% since Dec. 3. The distributor of nuts such as peanuts, cashews, walnuts and almonds is 43.4% overvalued and has gained 95.4% over the last 12 months and has been above its 200-day SMA now at $19.80 since June 10. My monthly pivot is $25.33 with weekly risky level at $26.98.
Isle Of Capri Casinos (ISLE) ($8.05 vs. $8.13 on Nov. 29) missed EPS estimates by 11 cents reporting a loss of 17 cents a share in the premarket on Dec. 5. The hold rated stock was downgraded to strong sell but stayed above its 200-day SMA at $7.49 down just 1.0% since Nov. 29. The owner of branded gaming and lodging establishments is 11.4% overvalued and has gained 58.8% over the last 12 months. My annual value level is $5.54 with monthly and quarterly risky levels at $8.08 and $8.35.
Jos. A Bank ($56.71 vs. $56.58 on Dec. 3) beat EPS estimates by a penny earning 51 cents a share premarket on Thursday. The hold rated stock has been upgraded to buy but moved sideways with a gain of 0.2% since Dec. 3. The men's clothing company has a gain of 32.6% over the last 12 months and is solidly above its 200-day SMA at $43.98. My monthly value level is $52.56 with an annual pivot at $55.24 and semiannual risky level at $61.87.
Kroger (KR) ($40.42 vs. $42.10 on Dec. 3) matched EPS estimates earning 53 cents a share premarket on Thursday. The buy rated stock stayed below its 50-day SMA at $41.77 ending Monday down 4.0% since Dec. 3. The grocery chain is 16.5% overvalued and gained 51.7% over the last 12 months and is solidly above its 200-day SMA at $37.01. My quarterly value level is $37.94 with weekly and monthly risky levels at $42.31 and $43.56.
Mattress Firm ($40.75 vs. $37.13 on Nov. 29) beat EPS estimates by a penny earning 55 cents a share in the afterhours on Dec. 4. The buy rated stock was downgraded to hold on the positive reaction to this earnings report. The stock gapped above its 200-day SMA at $36.32 to a high of $41.83 on Nov. 6 ending Monday up 9.7% since Nov. 29. The mattress maker has gained 78.7% over the last 12 months. My monthly and weekly value levels are $39.38 and $38.35 with a monthly risky level at $45.50.
Shoe Carnival (SCVL) ($28.19 vs. $28.93 on Nov. 29) beat EPS estimates by 3 cents earning 54 cents a share in the afterhours on Dec. 2. The buy rated stock set a new all-time intra-day high at $29.40 on Dec. 3 then faded ending Monday down 2.6% since Nov. 29. The value-oriented retailer of family footwear is 29.2% overvalued and has gained 30.9% over the last 12 months. My weekly value level is $27.72 with a semiannual pivot at $28.38 and quarterly and semiannual risky levels at $29.30 and $30.37.
Toro (TTC) ($59.95 vs. $60.19 on Dec. 3) beat EPS estimates by 6 cents earning 8 cents premarket on Thursday. The hold rated stock had set a new all-time intra-day high at $62.47 on Nov. 29 and traded down to $57.60 on Thursday then held its 50-day SMA at $58.16 ending Monday down just 0.4%. The provider of turf maintenance equipment, snow removal products and irrigation systems is 39.0% overvalued and has gained 42.6% over the last 12 months and is well above its 200-day SMA at $50.64. My semiannual value level is $53.38 with a monthly pivot at $59.95 and quarterly and weekly risky levels at $61.20 and $62.64.
At the time of publication the author held no positions in any of the stocks mentioned.
This article is commentary by an independent contributor, separate from TheStreet's regular news coverage.