Short Interest Declines 10.8% For ARII

The most recent short interest data has been released by the NASDAQ for the 11/15/2013 settlement date, which shows a 348,589 share decrease in total short interest for American Railcar Industries Inc (ARII), to 2,872,131, a decrease of 10.82% since 10/31/2013. Total short interest is just one way to look at short data; another metric that we here at Dividend Channel find particularly useful is the "days to cover" metric because it considers both the total shares short and the average daily volume of shares traded. The number of shares short is then compared to the average daily volume, in order to calculate the total number of trading days (at the average volume) it would take to close out all of the open short positions if every share traded represented a short position being closed. Average daily volume for ARII at the 11/15/2013 settlement increased to 339,860, as compared to 276,129 at the 10/31/2013 report. That brought "days to cover" down to 8.45, a 27.55% decrease from the 11.66 days to cover calculated at the previous short interest data release.

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The below chart shows the historical "days to cover" for ARII at previous short interest release dates:

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A decreased "days to cover" value could indicate that short sellers are no longer expecting the same decline in stock price they once were, or it could also indicate a long bet elsewhere was closed where ARII had been shorted as a hedge.

The chart below shows the one year performance of ARII shares, versus its 200 day moving average. Looking at this chart, ARII's low point in its 52 week range is $28.56 per share, with $47.94 as the 52 week high point — that compares with a last trade of $43.47.

American Railcar Industries Inc Chart

In afternoon trading Wednesday, ARII was up about 0.3% on the day.

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