The Case for Fixed-Rates NowThe impact of rising interest rates on an investor’s bond portfolio is important, and the authors agree that bond yields will likely continue to rise going forward. But Schwab’s experts believe the pace will be slower than many are predicting, and the magnitude of the rise may be lower than many anticipate. The white paper explains that floating-rate bonds, which come with their own set of risks, can make sense for a fixed income portfolio when a rise in short-term interest rates is expected in reasonably short order. The authors point out that most fixed-rate bonds currently offer higher yields than comparable floaters, however – so opting for floating-rate securities may now mean that investors are giving up too much current income. “When we look at fixed-rate corporate bonds with short-term maturities in comparison with floaters in light of what we know from the Fed, we expect the total return from fixed-rate securities will be higher,” said Jones, noting that in its September report, the Fed indicated that 14 out of 17 members expect the first short-term interest rate increase to occur in 2015 or later. The Schwab white paper compares investment grade and sub-investment grade short-term fixed corporate bonds alongside their floating-rate counterparts. This shows how high rates would need to rise for the yields on floating-rate bonds to break even with the yields on fixed rate securities. The longer the Fed keeps rates on hold, the sharper the rise in rates will need to be for investors in floating-rate bonds to make up the difference in yields. And although floaters have generated positive year-to-date returns, they are underperforming fixed coupon investment grade and high yield bonds. “The data and what we’ve been hearing from investors lead us to believe that many are moving to floating-rate securities to take advantage of higher rates down the road, but haven’t figured out what they’re potentially giving up relative to the potential gain,” added Jones. “We believe most investors with an allocation to fixed income are better served right now by overweighting fixed coupon, shorter-term corporate bonds, while underweighting floating-rate bonds.”
Investors interested in learning more about fixed rate bonds versus floaters in the current environment can reach out to their Schwab financial consultant or to a Schwab bond specialist.The full white paper, part of Schwab’s Investing Ideas series, is available here . Schwab Investing Ideas offer analyses of key market trends and investing opportunities investors can act on now from the Schwab Center for Financial Research. More information, including other recently published insights, can be found on Schwab’s Investing Ideas page. About Charles Schwab At Charles Schwab we believe in the power of investing to help individuals create a better tomorrow. We have a history of challenging the status quo in our industry, innovating in ways that benefit investors and the advisors and employers who serve them, and championing our clients’ goals with passion and integrity. More information is available at www.aboutschwab.com. Follow us on Twitter, Facebook, YouTube, LinkedIn and our Schwab Talk blog. Disclosures Through its operating subsidiaries, The Charles Schwab Corporation (NYSE: SCHW) provides a full range of securities brokerage, banking, money management and financial advisory services to individual investors and independent investment advisors. Its broker-dealer subsidiary, Charles Schwab & Co., Inc. (member SIPC, www.sipc.org), and affiliates offer a complete range of investment services and products including an extensive selection of mutual funds; financial planning and investment advice; retirement plan and equity compensation plan services; compliance and trade monitoring solutions; referrals to independent fee-based investment advisors; and custodial, operational and trading support for independent, fee-based investment advisors through Schwab Advisor Services. Its banking subsidiary, Charles Schwab Bank (member FDIC and an Equal Housing Lender), provides banking and lending services and products. More information is available at www.schwab.com and www.aboutschwab.com. Fixed income securities are subject to increased loss of principal during periods of rising interest rates. Fixed income investments are subject to various other risks, including changes in credit quality, market valuations, liquidity, prepayments, early redemption, corporate events, tax ramifications, and other factors. Lower-rated securities are subject to greater credit risk, default risk, and liquidity risk.
The information here is for general informational purposes only and should not be considered an individualized recommendation or personalized investment advice. The type of securities and investment strategies mentioned may not be suitable for everyone. Each investor needs to review a security transaction for his or her own particular situation.All expressions of opinion are subject to change without notice in reaction to shifting market conditions. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. (1113-8004)