Earnings From AOL to Zillow Includes Tesla Today and Tomorrow

NEW YORK (TheStreet) -- Today's buy-and-trade earnings previews focus on 11 companies in seven sectors from A to Z with AOL (AOL) who reports premarket on Tuesday to Zillow (Z) which reports in afterhours trading on Tuesday along with Tesla Motors (TSLA).

The seven sectors include three stocks from the computer and technology sector, three from the oils-energy sector and one each in these sectors; auto-tires-trucks, basic materials, consumer discretionary, retail-wholesale and transportation.

The ValuEngine valuation warning continues with 77.1% of all stocks being overvalued, 45.5% by 20% or more, and with 15 of 16 sectors overvalued by double-digit percentages, 11 by 20% to 27.3%.

The auto-tire-trucks sector is 25.7% overvalued with an underweight rating. Of the 96 stocks 41.7% in this sector have sell or strong sell ratings.

The basic materials sector is 3.6% undervalued with an underweight rating. Of the 395 stocks 59.5% in this sector have sell or strong sell ratings.

The computer and technology sector is 24.6% overvalued with an overweight rating. Of the 1149 stocks 50.5% in this sector have buy or strong buy ratings.

The consumer discretionary sector is 25.7% overvalued with an equal-weight rating. Of the 400 stocks 83.3% in this sector have hold ratings.

The oils-energy sector is 10.1% overvalued with an underweight rating. Of the 552 stocks 31.7% in this sector have sell or strong sell ratings.

The retail-wholesale sector is 27.3% overvalued with an overweight rating. Of the 347 stocks 80.7% in this sector have buy or strong buy ratings.

The transportation sector is 26.1% overvalued with an 'avoid-source of funds' rating. Of the 176 stocks 91.9% in this sector have sell or strong sell ratings.

Four of the 11 stocks in today's table have buy ratings. Six have hold ratings and one has a sell rating. Only one stock is undervalued by 9.8%, while seven are overvalued by 20% to 61.6%. One is down 11.9% over the last 12 months, while one has a gain of 476.5%. Two stocks are below their 200-day simple moving averages and nine are well above, which reflects the risk of reversion to the mean.

Reading the Table

OV/UN Valued: Stocks with a red number are undervalued by this percentage. Those with a black number are overvalued by that percentage according to ValuEngine.

VE Rating: A "1-engine" rating is a strong sell, a "2-engine" rating is a sell, a "3-engine" rating is a hold, a "4-engine" rating is a buy and a "5-engine" rating is a strong buy.

Last 12-Month Return (%): Stocks with a red number declined by that percentage over the last 12 months. Stocks with a black number increased by that percentage.

Forecast 1-Year Return: Stocks with a red number are projected to decline by that percentage over the next 12 months. Stocks with a black number in the table are projected to move higher by that percentage over the next 12 months.

Value Level: Price at which to enter a GTC limit order to buy on weakness. The letters mean; W-weekly, M-monthly, Q-quarterly, S-semiannual and A-annual.

Pivot: A level between a value level and risky level that should be a magnet during the time frame noted.

Risky Level: Price at which to enter a GTC limit order to sell on strength.

AOL ( AOL) ($36.68) has been above its 200-day SMA at $35.95 since Oct. 23. The buy rated 'you got mail' Internet services company has a monthly value level at $35.34 with a weekly risky level at $37.56.

Anadarko Petroleum ( APC) ($94.39) set a multi-year high at $98.47 on Wednesday and is trading just above its 50-day SMA at $94.13. The hold rated oil and gas exploration company has an annual value level at $89.73 with an annual pivot at $92.05 and quarterly risky level at $97.94.

CVS Caremark ( CVS) ($62.59) set its multi-year high at $62.90 on Nov. 1 after holding its 200-day SMA at $57.35 when this level was lower on Oct. 4. The buy rated pharmacy has a semiannual value level at $53.49 with a weekly pivot at $61.43 and a quarterly risky level at $67.47.

Fossil ( FOSL) ($128.66) set a multi-year high at $129.25 on Aug. 6 and is just below that level pre-earnings. The buy rated retailer of watches, jewelry and leather goods has a semiannual value level at $123.93 with a weekly pivot at $131.16 and semiannual risky level at $134.16.

Leapfrog ( LF) ($8.58) has been trading below its 200-day SMA at $9.40 since Oct. 8. The hold rated maker of tech-based educational toys for children traded as low as $8.42 on Sept. 4 with a semiannual pivot at $8.57 and weekly risky level at $8.75.

Mosaic ( MOS) ($46.10) set a multi-year low at $39.75 on Aug. 6 and is above its 50-day SMA at $44.71 pre-earnings. The hold rated fertilizer company has a monthly value level at $42.19 with a weekly risky level at $49.06.

Marathon Oil ( MRO) ($35.27) is trading just above its 50-day and 200-day SMAs at $35.17 and $34.56. The hold rated integrated oil and gas company has a weekly value at $34.85 with a monthly pivot at $35.73 and semiannual risky level at $38.02.

OpenTable ( OPEN) ($68.59) is trading between its 200-day SMA at $64.42 and its 50-day SMA at $71.88. The buy rated Internet based restaurant reservation service has a quarterly value level at $61.08 with a semiannual pivot at $69.33 and a monthly risky level at $76.88.

Tidewater ( TDW) ($59.99) set a multi-year high at $63.14 on Oct. 22. The sell rated operator of fleets that serves the offshore energy industry has a semiannual value level at $56.82 with an annual pivot at $59.59 and annual risky level at $63.31.

Tesla Motors ( TSLA) ($162.17) set a multi-year high at $194.50 on Sept. 30 and begins the week below its 50-day SMA at $173.08. The hold rated designer of luxury electric vehicles has a quarterly value level at $129.44 with a weekly risky level at $183.45.

Zillow ( Z) ($79.83) has been below its 50-day SMA since Oct. 3. The hold rated real estate information website has a weekly value level at $75.01 with a monthly risky level at $99.23.

At the time of publication the author held no positions in any of the stocks mentioned.

This article is commentary by an independent contributor, separate from TheStreet's regular news coverage.

Richard Suttmeier is the chief market strategist at AlphaPlus Analytics in addition to ValuEngine.com. He has been a professional in the U.S. Capital Markets since 1972, transferring his engineering skills to the trading and investment world.

Suttmeier has an engineering degree from Georgia Tech and a Master of Science degree from Brooklyn Poly. He began his career in the financial services industry in 1972 trading U.S. Treasury securities in the primary dealer community. He became the first long bond trader for Bache in 1978, and formed the Government Bond Department at LF Rothschild in 1981, helping establish that firm as a primary dealer in 1986. This experience gives him the insights to be an expert on monetary policy, which he features in his newsletters, and market commentary.

Suttmeier's industry licenses include, Series 7 and Registered Principal (Series 24). He has been the Chief Market Strategist for ValuEngine.com since 2008 and often appears on financial TV.

Click here for details on Suttmeier's "Buy and Trade" investment strategy.

Richard Suttmeier can be reached at RSuttmeier@Gmail.com

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