NEW YORK ( TheStreet) -- In my opinion, Federal Reserve policy failed as soon as the FOMC cut the federal funds rate below 3% on March 18, 2008, to 2.25%. It was Dec. 16, 2008, when the Fed cut this rate to 0%, where it could remain for years to come if Janet Yellen becomes the next Fed chairman in early 2014.The Fed's quantitative easing programs began in late November 2008 when the Federal Reserve Open Market Trading Desk in New York began to purchase $600 billion in mortgage-backed securities. Two years later the Fed announced another round of purchases and this time it was $600 billion in longer-dated U.S. Treasuries by the end of second quarter of 2011. This second wave was dubbed QE2. TLT) ($103.71). The Treasury ETF remains below its 50-day simple moving average at $105.67 after setting a multi-year low at $102.11 on Aug. 21. The weekly chart shows an oversold condition with the five-week modified moving average at $105.25 and the 200-week SMA at $107.77. This week's value level is $100.96 with a monthly pivot at $105.75. My semiannual value level lags at $92.32 with annual risky levels at $116.26 and $120.42.
Continue to trade the gold market just like a stock using SPDR Gold Trust ( GLD) ($126.50). The ETF is below its 50-day SMA at $129.14 with the 200-day SMA at $143.62. The weekly chart is negative with the five-week MMA at $129.81 and the 200-week SMA at $143.36. My monthly value level is $118.35 with a weekly risky level is $135.75. Continue to trade crude oil using the Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund ( XLE) ($84.31) The EFT traded to a new multi-year high at $84.66 on Monday. The 50-day and 200-day SMAs are supports at $82.41 and $78.61. The weekly chart is positive but overbought with the five-week MMA at $82.75 and the 200-week SMA at $68.78. My weekly value level is $81.68 with monthly and semiannual risky levels at $87.91 and $88.35. For the major equity averages the Russell 2000 tested a new all-time high at 1066.39 at Tuesday's close. The Nasdaq set a new multi-year high at 3756.24 on Monday staying shy of my semiannual risky level at 3759. The other three major averages stayed below their all-time highs at 15,658.43 for the Dow Industrial Average, set on Aug. 2, 1709.67 for the S&P 500 set on Aug. 2 and 6686.86 Dow transportation average set on Aug. 1. It seems highly likely that all five major averages will power to new highs given a positive reaction to the Fed statement and to comments by Ben Bernanke at his press conference this afternoon. DIA) ($155.29) is above its 50-day SMA at $152.68 with the 200-day SMA at $145.42 with the Aug. 2 high at $156.24. The weekly chart shifts to positive with a weekly close above the five-week MMA at $152.22. My weekly value level is $149.35 with monthly and semiannual risky levels at $163.25 and $164.06.
PowerShares QQQ Trust Series 1 ( QQQ) ($78.37) is above its 50-day SMA at $76.06 with the 200-day SMA at $70.80 and set a multi-year high at $78.72 on Monday. The weekly chart is positive but overbought with the five-week MMA at $76.52. My quarterly value level is $73.00 with monthly and weekly pivots at $78.18 and $78.63 with semiannual risky levels at $79.76 and $80.87.
Read: HED-HERE SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust ( SPY) ($171.07) is above its 50-day SMA at $167.69 with the 200-day SMA at $157.92 and new all time high at $171.24 set on Monday. The weekly chart shifts to positive with a weekly close above its five-week MMA at $167.56. My weekly value level is $166.42 with a semiannual risky level at $174.10. At the time of publication the author held no positions in any of the stocks mentioned. Follow @Suttmeier This article is commentary by an independent contributor, separate from TheStreet's regular news coverage.