TLT) ($104.22). The Treasury ETF is below its 50-day simple moving average 106.84 with the 200-day SMA a strong resistance at $116.04. The weekly chart shows an oversold condition with the 200-week SMA at $107.68. The Aug. 21 low is $102.11 with a monthly pivot at $105.75 and annual risky levels at $116.26 and $120.42. My semiannual value level lags at $92.32.
Read: HP's Still a Value Trap Comex gold ($1403.0) set at tradable low on June 28 at $1,179.4 the Troy ounce. The daily chart shows an overbought condition with the 50-day SMA a support at $1,313.3 and the 200-day SMA a resistance at $1,503.5. My new monthly value level is $1224.6. The weekly chart profile is positive with the five-week modified moving average a support at $1361.5 and the 200-week SMA a resistance at $1,471.9. My first annual risky level is $1599.9. GLD) ($136.42). The 50-day SMA is a support at $127.01 and the 200-day SMA is a resistance at $145.47. The weekly chart is positive with the five-week MMA a support at $131.78 and the 200-week SMA a resistance at $143.21. My annual risky level is $153.45.
At www.ValuEngine.com we do not show a single buy-rated gold stock. On Aug. 8 I suggested that if you want to buy a gold mining stock to choose Newmont Mining ( NEM) ($31.47 vs. $26.48 on Aug. 7). This hold-rated stock traded to a multi-year low at $26.43 on Aug. 7 and traded as high as $34.27 into Aug. 27 for a low to high gain of 29.6%. Buy-and-trade investors could have captured a portion of this upside. The gold miner still has a hold rating and is 20.4% undervalued. My monthly value level is $23.63 with a weekly pivot at $33.05 and quarterly risky level at $40.92. Crude oil ($107.89) traded as high as $112.34 into Aug. 28 but all closes since then have been below my semiannual pivot at $109.84. The daily chart is neutral with oil above its 50-day SMA at $104.96, but with a negative divergence in momentum. The weekly chart profile is positive but overbought with the five-week modified moving average at $105.66 and the 200-week SMA at $90.47. My quarterly value level is $91.75 with a monthly pivot at $105.67, the semiannual pivot at $109.84 and weekly and annual risky levels at $110.32 and $115.23. XLE) ($82.17) which has been trading sideways since testing $83.95 back on May 22. The June 24 low was $76.02, just above its 200-day SMA, then at $75.85 on a positive daily chart. The weekly chart shifts to negative given a close this week below the five-week MMA at $81.78. My quarter value level lags at $68.32 with weekly, monthly and semiannual risky levels at $84.65, $87.91 and $88.35. Cisco Joins List of 11 Buy-Rated Dow Stocks as Fundamentals Deteriorate. In this post I showed that the oils-energy sector has an underweight rating with 31.1% of the 569 stocks in this sector rated sell, and that five stocks had buy ratings. At the time of publication the author held no positions in any of the stocks mentioned. Follow @Suttmeier This article is commentary by an independent contributor, separate from TheStreet's regular news coverage.