Trade-Ideas: Autodesk (ADSK) Is Today's

Editor's Note: Any reference to TheStreet Ratings and its underlying recommendation does not reflect the opinion of TheStreet, Inc. or any of its contributors including Jim Cramer or Stephanie Link.

Trade-Ideas LLC identified Autodesk ( ADSK) as a "barbarian at the gate" (strong stocks crossing above resistance with today's range greater than 200%) candidate. In addition to specific proprietary factors, Trade-Ideas identified Autodesk as such a stock due to the following factors:

  • ADSK has an average dollar-volume (as measured by average daily share volume multiplied by share price) of $88.2 million.
  • ADSK has traded 2.2 million shares today.
  • ADSK traded in a range 223% of the normal price range with a price range of $1.54.
  • ADSK traded above its daily resistance level (quality: 142 days, meaning that the stock is crossing a resistance level set by the last 142 calendar days. The resistance price is defined by the Price - $0.01 at the time of the signal).

Stocks matching the 'Barbarian at the Gate' criteria are worthwhile stocks to watch for a variety of factors including historical back testing and volatility. Trade-Ideas targets these opportunities because the stock is exhibiting an unusual behavior while displaying positive price action. In this case, the stock crossed an important inflection point; namely, 'resistance' while at the same time the range of the stock s movement in price is more than twice its normal size. This large range foreshadows a possible continuation as the stock moves higher.

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More details on ADSK:

Autodesk, Inc. operates as a design software and services company worldwide. The stock currently has a dividend yield of 21.8%. ADSK has a PE ratio of 36.8. Currently there are 7 analysts that rate Autodesk a buy, 1 analyst rates it a sell, and 8 rate it a hold.

The average volume for Autodesk has been 2.5 million shares per day over the past 30 days. Autodesk has a market cap of $8.0 billion and is part of the technology sector and computer software & services industry. The stock has a beta of 2.08 and a short float of 1.8% with 1.87 days to cover. Shares are up 1% year to date as of the close of trading on Wednesday.

STOCKS TO BUY: TheStreet Quant Ratings has identified a handful of stocks that can potentially TRIPLE in the next 12-months. Learn more.

TheStreetRatings.com Analysis:

TheStreet Quant Ratings rates Autodesk as a buy. The company's strengths can be seen in multiple areas, such as its reasonable valuation levels, good cash flow from operations, largely solid financial position with reasonable debt levels by most measures and expanding profit margins. We feel these strengths outweigh the fact that the company has had sub par growth in net income.

Highlights from the ratings report include:
  • Net operating cash flow has significantly increased by 60.87% to $224.10 million when compared to the same quarter last year. In addition, AUTODESK INC has also vastly surpassed the industry average cash flow growth rate of -13.09%.
  • Despite currently having a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.36, it is higher than that of the industry average, inferring that management of debt levels may need to be evaluated further. Despite the fact that ADSK's debt-to-equity ratio is mixed in its results, the company's quick ratio of 2.42 is high and demonstrates strong liquidity.
  • The gross profit margin for AUTODESK INC is currently very high, coming in at 93.97%. Regardless of ADSK's high profit margin, it has managed to decrease from the same period last year. Despite the mixed results of the gross profit margin, ADSK's net profit margin of 9.74% is significantly lower than the industry average.
  • AUTODESK INC's earnings per share declined by 29.4% in the most recent quarter compared to the same quarter a year ago. The company has suffered a declining pattern of earnings per share over the past year. However, we anticipate this trend reversing over the coming year. During the past fiscal year, AUTODESK INC reported lower earnings of $1.07 versus $1.22 in the prior year. This year, the market expects an improvement in earnings ($1.96 versus $1.07).

STOCKS TO BUY: TheStreet Quant Ratings has identified a handful of stocks that can potentially TRIPLE in the next 12-months. Learn more.

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