Gold's boom-and-bust historyThe first major run in the price of gold took place from 1970 to 1974. Over those four years, the price of an ounce of gold jumped from $38.90 to $183.77, an increase of 372.42 percent. This was followed by a 27.21 percent decline over the next two years. Then, from 1976 to 1980, gold rose from $133.77 to $594.90, an increase of 344.72 percent. Predictably, this was then followed by a 48.23 percent decline over the subsequent four years. Then gold did something different. It essentially went sideways from 1984 to 2001, with a series of relatively small increases and decreases more or less cancelling each other out, leaving gold with an overall decline of 10.23 percent to show for that 17-year period. More than that decline, it is having dead money for such an extended period of time that would be most damaging for investors.
After that, gold went on its most spectacular run yet, rising by 601.81 percent from 2001 to 2012. However, 2013 is looking like the year when this party may finally end.Clearly, gold is capable of some spectacular price rallies at times. On the other hand, if you look at the period from the 1980 price peak to the 2012 peak, gold earned a paltry 3.27 percent annual average over 32 years. What you get out of gold has everything to do with when you get in.