13 Stocks Reporting Next Week With A History Of Positive Surprises

Looking to trade on earnings season? With the knowledge that past performance does not indicate future returns, we compiled a list of companies reporting earnings next week (Jan 14-18) with a solid history of outperforming earning expectations. Perhaps they will do so again.

To create the list below we found companies who posted earnings per share above the expected number for a minimum of  four consecutive quarters. The idea being, if firms have now reported 4+ consecutive quarters of positive earning surprises, are investors continually undervaluing them?

Analyze These Ideas: Access a performance overview for all stocks in the list. Test your investing ideas with a free practice portfolio. 

What’s an Earning Surprise?

In our list below we refer to company’s earning surprises. The concept of an earnings surprise is pretty straight-forward – the quarterly earnings come out, and earnings analysts are “surprised” by how they don’t match up to their predictions.  “Surprise” doesn’t necessarily have to mean shocking either, it can be the difference of a few cents between what earning analysts predicted and what the company actually reports. To be clear, earnings typically refer to after-tax net income. For this list we only use positive surprises.

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Business Section: Investing Ideas

The companies listed below all have histories of outperforming expectations for 4 consecutive quarters. Do you think they will continue this bullish trend in the quarters to come?


1. Cardinal Financial Corp. (CFNL): Operates as the holding company for Cardinal Bank that provides banking products and services to commercial and retail customers in Virginia and greater Washington, D. Market cap at $488.26M, most recent closing price at $16.67.In Dec 2011: Reported EPS at 0.28 vs. estimate at 0.27 (surprise of 3.7%). In Mar 2012: Reported EPS at 0.26 vs. estimate at 0.24 (surprise of 8.3%). In Jun 2012: Reported EPS at 0.34 vs. estimate at 0.25 (surprise of 36%). In Sep 2012: Reported 0.48 vs. estimate at 0.31 (surprise of 54.8%. [Average earnings surprise at 25.7%]. Earnings date: 01/14/13.

 

2. GATX Corp. (GMT): Operates, and manages assets in the rail, marine, and industrial equipment markets. Market cap at $2.11B, most recent closing price at $44.90.In Dec 2011: Reported EPS at 0.62 vs. estimate at 0.55 (surprise of 12.7%). In Mar 2012: Reported EPS at 0.69 vs. estimate at 0.49 (surprise of 40.8%). In Jun 2012: Reported EPS at 0.8 vs. estimate at 0.61 (surprise of 31.1%). In Sep 2012: Reported 0.75 vs. estimate at 0.66 (surprise of 13.6%. [Average earnings surprise at 24.55%]. Earnings date: 01/14/13.

 

3. The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. (GS): Provides investment banking, securities, and investment management services to corporations, financial institutions, governments, and high-net-worth individuals worldwide. Market cap at $62.53B, most recent closing price at $133.05.In Dec 2011: Reported EPS at 1.84 vs. estimate at 1.24 (surprise of 48.4%). In Mar 2012: Reported EPS at 3.92 vs. estimate at 3.55 (surprise of 10.4%). In Jun 2012: Reported EPS at 1.78 vs. estimate at 1.17 (surprise of 52.1%). In Sep 2012: Reported 2.85 vs. estimate at 2.12 (surprise of 34.4%. [Average earnings surprise at 36.32%]. Earnings date: 01/16/13.

 

4. Horizon Bancorp. (HBNC): Operates as the bank holding company for Horizon Bank, N. Market cap at $176.41M, most recent closing price at $20.30.In Dec 2011: Reported EPS at 0.45 vs. estimate at 0.4 (surprise of 12.5%). In Mar 2012: Reported EPS at 0.59 vs. estimate at 0.4 (surprise of 47.5%). In Jun 2012: Reported EPS at 0.62 vs. estimate at 0.53 (surprise of 17%). In Sep 2012: Reported 0.54 vs. estimate at 0.51 (surprise of 5.9%. [Average earnings surprise at 20.72%]. Earnings date: 01/14/13.

 

5. Intervest Bancshares Corp. (IBCA): Operates as the holding company for Intervest National Bank and Intervest Mortgage Corporation, which engage in banking and real estate lending businesses. Market cap at $89.6M, most recent closing price at $4.15.In Sep 2011: Reported EPS at 0.12 vs. estimate at 0.09 (surprise of 33.3%). In Dec 2011: Reported EPS at 0.13 vs. estimate at 0.11 (surprise of 18.2%). In Mar 2012: Reported EPS at 0.13 vs. estimate at 0.12 (surprise of 8.3%). In Jun 2012: Reported 0.11 vs. estimate at 0.1 (surprise of 10%. [Average earnings surprise at 17.45%]. Earnings date: 01/14/13.

 

6. Intel Corporation (INTC): Engages in the design, manufacture, and sale of integrated circuits for computing and communications industries worldwide. Market cap at $104.94B, most recent closing price at $21.09.In Dec 2011: Reported EPS at 0.64 vs. estimate at 0.61 (surprise of 4.9%). In Mar 2012: Reported EPS at 0.53 vs. estimate at 0.5 (surprise of 6%). In Jun 2012: Reported EPS at 0.54 vs. estimate at 0.52 (surprise of 3.8%). In Sep 2012: Reported 0.58 vs. estimate at 0.5 (surprise of 16%. [Average earnings surprise at 7.68%]. Earnings date: 01/17/13.

 

7. Fidelity Southern Corporation (LION): Operates as a bank holding company for Fidelity Bank that provides financial products and services primarily in Georgia. Market cap at $141.74M, most recent closing price at $9.85.In Dec 2011: Reported EPS at 0.13 vs. estimate at 0.12 (surprise of 8.3%). In Mar 2012: Reported EPS at 0.28 vs. estimate at 0.15 (surprise of 86.7%). In Jun 2012: Reported EPS at 0.34 vs. estimate at 0.18 (surprise of 88.9%). In Sep 2012: Reported 0.29 vs. estimate at 0.25 (surprise of 16%. [Average earnings surprise at 49.97%]. Earnings date: 01/14/13.

 

8. NetScout Systems, Inc. (NTCT, Earnings, Analysts, Financials): Engages in the design, development, manufacture, marketing, sale, and support of unified service delivery management, service assurance, and application and network performance management solutions worldwide. Market cap at $1.12B, most recent closing price at $26.74.In Dec 2011: Reported EPS at 0.35 vs. estimate at 0.33 (surprise of 6.1%). In Mar 2012: Reported EPS at 0.39 vs. estimate at 0.38 (surprise of 2.6%). In Jun 2012: Reported EPS at 0.19 vs. estimate at 0.18 (surprise of 5.6%). In Sep 2012: Reported 0.34 vs. estimate at 0.26 (surprise of 30.8%. [Average earnings surprise at 11.27%]. Earnings date: 01/17/13.

 

9. Republic Bancorp Inc. (RBCAA): Operates as the holding company for Republic Bank & Trust Company and Republic Bank, which provides banking, tax refund solutions, and mortgage banking services to individuals and businesses in the United States. Market cap at $462.16M, most recent closing price at $22.06.In Dec 2011: Reported EPS at 0.3 vs. estimate at 0.25 (surprise of 20%). In Mar 2012: Reported EPS at 3.92 vs. estimate at 3.51 (surprise of 11.7%). In Jun 2012: Reported EPS at 0.46 vs. estimate at 0.38 (surprise of 21.1%). In Sep 2012: Reported 0.98 vs. estimate at 0.31 (surprise of 216.1%. [Average earnings surprise at 67.22%]. Earnings date: 01/14/13.

 

10. Renasant Corp. (RNST): Provides financial and insurance services to retail and commercial customers. Market cap at $493.61M, most recent closing price at $19.65.In Dec 2011: Reported EPS at 0.23 vs. estimate at 0.22 (surprise of 4.5%). In Mar 2012: Reported EPS at 0.24 vs. estimate at 0.23 (surprise of 4.3%). In Jun 2012: Reported EPS at 0.25 vs. estimate at 0.24 (surprise of 4.2%). In Sep 2012: Reported 0.28 vs. estimate at 0.25 (surprise of 12%. [Average earnings surprise at 6.25%]. Earnings date: 01/14/13.

 

11. Unitedhealth Group, Inc. (UNH): Provides healthcare services in the United States. Market cap at $52.5B, most recent closing price at $51.40.In Dec 2011: Reported EPS at 1.17 vs. estimate at 1.04 (surprise of 12.5%). In Mar 2012: Reported EPS at 1.31 vs. estimate at 1.17 (surprise of 12%). In Jun 2012: Reported EPS at 1.27 vs. estimate at 1.19 (surprise of 6.7%). In Sep 2012: Reported 1.5 vs. estimate at 1.35 (surprise of 11.1%. [Average earnings surprise at 10.58%]. Earnings date: 01/17/13.

 

12. Wintrust Financial Corporation (WTFC): Engages in community banking, specialty finance, and wealth management operations. Market cap at $1.4B, most recent closing price at $38.47.In Dec 2011: Reported EPS at 0.41 vs. estimate at 0.37 (surprise of 10.8%). In Mar 2012: Reported EPS at 0.5 vs. estimate at 0.41 (surprise of 22%). In Jun 2012: Reported EPS at 0.52 vs. estimate at 0.47 (surprise of 10.6%). In Sep 2012: Reported 0.66 vs. estimate at 0.57 (surprise of 15.8%. [Average earnings surprise at 14.8%]. Earnings date: 01/16/13.

 

13. Xilinx Inc. (XLNX): Designs, develops, and markets programmable platforms in North America, the Asia Pacific, Europe, and Japan. Market cap at $9.29B, most recent closing price at $35.61.In Dec 2011: Reported EPS at 0.47 vs. estimate at 0.37 (surprise of 27%). In Mar 2012: Reported EPS at 0.49 vs. estimate at 0.41 (surprise of 19.5%). In Jun 2012: Reported EPS at 0.47 vs. estimate at 0.45 (surprise of 4.4%). In Sep 2012: Reported 0.46 vs. estimate at 0.41 (surprise of 12.2%. [Average earnings surprise at 15.78%]. Earnings date: 01/18/13.

List compiled by Kapitall’s Rebecca Lipman

 

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