When Prices Make No Sense

VANCOUVER (Bullions Bull Canada) -- A reader recently passed along some fascinating material providing a detailed review of the Weimar hyperinflation experienced by Germany in the 1920s, along with some astute analysis of those events in order to give readers a clear picture of this economic catastrophe.

The purpose of this piece, however, is not to review that article. Those interested in further enlightenment will have to obtain it on their own.

What my own reading of that analysis provided was some interesting surprises and reinforcement of several of my own economic premises.

Among the most important of these is the illusory nature of "change."

The Weimer hyperinflation provides us with a classic illustration of that concept. Viewed from nearly a century in the future, our assumption is that this "episode" was characterized by a consistent progression: either the parabolic explosion in prices (and collapse in the value of currency) that we are taught defines hyperinflation, or (at the least) some steady-but-dramatic linear progression.

In fact Germany's hyperinflation did not unfold like that at all. Rather, there were dramatic ebbs and surges, including intervals of weeks at a time where the reichsmark actually rose in value versus other currencies.

Imagine the difficulty in trying to convince the average German that their currency was "being destroyed by hyperinflation" when they saw it rising in value for weeks at a time. Hyperinflation? What hyperinflation?

Undoubtedly, these average Germans told themselves if there were any hyperinflation event they would "see it coming." They were wrong.

With the modern citizens of our Western economies, their folly is two-fold.

First, they suffer from the same self-delusion as the German people: that they would/will see any economic catastrophe coming. This alone is a potentially terminal lapse of judgment. Second, they have been deceived by the statistical lies of our duplicitous governments.

The poster child for this deceit is the U.S. government. For nearly four years a cast of liars from government, media, and the banking community have assured Americans they have been enjoying an "economic recovery."

Meanwhile, in the real world, the percentage of employed Americans continues to relentlessly decline while retail sales in this "consumer economy" are collapsing.

The economy of the world's great energy glutton is so anemic that the U.S. is now a net energy exporter due to plummeting demand within its own economy.

If those reality checks are not enough to rouse Americans from their propaganda-induced stupor, perhaps one final question will accomplish this: How could a "four-year recovery" take the U.S. directly to an economic cliff?

By definition, any "recovery" should be taking the U.S. economy away from any kind of economic cliff since any honest characterization of an "economic recovery" directly and necessarily implies that the economy is healing.

The "fiscal cliff" the media is trumpeting with as much hysteria as they can muster is proof there never was any U.S. economic recovery.

Prudent readers must confront two, ugly truths. They will not recognize even the most cataclysmic economic changes as they are approaching and very likely not even grasp events as they are happening.

Second, the vast majority of readers have been thoroughly deceived by the endless choruses of "don't worry, be happy" emanating from the U.S. propaganda machine.

To these difficulties we can add one more: a world of fantasy prices. There are several dynamics at play here. One of these dynamics is another lesson from the Weimar hyperinflation.

There was lag time between the money printing that produced hyperinflation and the actual hyperinflationary surge in prices that took place. Put another way, the banksters of that era were also adept at manipulating markets. Or, while the German government and its bankers could delay the hyperinflation they were brewing, they were powerless to prevent it.

The combination of manipulation and the panic that results from any collapsing market leads to another dynamic: the "dead-cat bounce" where even worthless assets can temporarily rise in value, but only because the previous rate of collapse was temporarily excessive.

As our crippled financial system nears the point of collapse and hyperinflation looms, yet another dynamic is part of the inherent definition of hyperinflation itself.

Ultimately, in anyhyperinflation paper currencies become effectively worthless. In other words, the difference in "value" between, for example, a $10 bill and a $1000 bill shrinks smaller and smaller, eventually disappearing completely as both become worthless.

This directly implies a world of prices which are almost totally nominal/arbitrary -- i.e. without any meaning. What is the "correct price" for a loaf of bread...in Monopoly money? We immediately recognize that the question is absurd.

It's no different than asking what the "price" of a loaf of bread is in terms of grains of sand. As with U.S. dollars, the grains of sand can be obtained in infinite quantities, and at zero cost.

As I have explained previously, these parameters alone mean (as a matter of arithmetic) that the U.S. dollar must be already worthless.

As our financial system spirals relentlessly toward some form of hyperinflationary point of no return and as the prices of assets become steadily more nominal, arbitrary and unreal, manipulation of markets and asset prices becomes steadily easier rather than more difficult.

Why are U.S. Treasuries at the "highest prices in history" when the U.S. government has never been less solvent, much more supply is being dumped onto the market than at any other time in history, and all of the world's other struggling governments no longer have any surplus funds to buy this overvalued paper?

Together, those three parameters clearly dictate U.S. Treasuries should be at their lowest prices in history -- meaning U.S. interest rates should be at their highest rates in history today.

Of course, with more than $15 trillion of outstanding debt this would instantly vaporize the U.S. economy, consuming more than 100% of tax revenue in interest payments alone.

Thus manipulating Treasuries prices is Job #1 for the U.S. government and the banking cabal whose paper empire is built atop this Ponzi scheme.

Why are gold and silver prices seemingly stuck in more sideways trading; just as the printing presses on both sides of the Atlantic explode in a new frenzy of open-ended money printing?

As our paper currencies collectively plummet toward zero, the actual difference in value between the "highest prices in history" and "the lowest prices in history" steadily shrinks to zero as well.

Whether we have gold (currently) priced at $1,700/oz and silver priced at $32/oz, or whether we add one (or two) zeros to those numbers is now practically nothing more than the arbitrary whim of bankster manipulation...with one important exception: inventories.

Today, the "price" of gold or silver means nothing more than how favorably we can exchange our soon-to-be-worthless banker paper for the world's only honest money. Tomorrow, when inventories go to zero, this means the zeros that have been artificially/fraudulently withheld from gold and silver must be added.

This article was written by an independent contributor, separate from TheStreet's regular news coverage.

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