The company also faces a huge foreign-exchange headwind that will likely further weigh down earnings.

Finally, the history of this company is that the shareholders and its directors are more patient than with most other companies (e.g., Yahoo! ( YHOO)).

Bill Ackman is one of the most brilliant hedge-hoggers I know of, but he has a lot on his plate with J.C. Penney ( JCP) -- he owns 40 million shares, which is not going swimmingly. (Ratings are being cut, and its merchandising gambit seems to be foundering. Cash flow pressures and even capital pressures at J.C. Penney are mounting.)

Position: None

Confident in Oils
Originally published on Thursday, July 12 at 11:53 a.m. EDT.
  • I continue to think that oils will lead.
  • Check out the intraday price action on Ensco ( ESV) shares -- after being up $1.50-plus yesterday and down by nearly a bean earlier today, they are now approaching breakeven.

    This is exactly what happened in July, 2011. The market got beaten up, but oils outperformed.

    Market Vectors Oil Services ETF ( OIH) is substantially my largest long position.

    Position: Long ESV and OIH

    Doug Kass is the president of Seabreeze Partners Management Inc. Under no circumstances does this information represent a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

    If you liked this article you might like

    Crazy Weak U.S. Dollar Will Make These 10 Companies Huge Winners

    Analyst Rips Ralph Lauren Stock, Right After Glitzy Fashion Show

    Cramer: It's Too Early To Tell If Peltz Will Win A Seat On The P&G Board

    The Best Companies for Women

    Nelson Peltz: P&G Needs to 'Step Into This Century'