NEW YORK (TheStreet) -- There's a saying, "If it wasn't for bad luck, I'd have no luck at all."This seems to be the prevailing theme for each earnings announcement that requires I first hold my breath before listening to the train wreak that has become Research in Motion ( RIMM).
Over the past several weeks, Research In Motion's software development teams have made major progress in the development of key features for the BlackBerry 10 platform; however, the integration of these features and the associated large volume of code into the platform has proven to be more time consuming than anticipated. Excuse me? Let me get this straight: This project has been your so-called "number 1 priority" but it has been mismanaged to the extent that not only will it miss the all-important holiday shopping season, but its delay will only increase the level of difficulty for RIM to regain any market share not just from Apple and Google, but now from even Microsoft ( MSFT) and Nokia ( NOK)? I'm not quite sure if RIM has fully embraced the severity of its current situation. If it has, it certainly has not acted accordingly. Even worse, it needs to stop sending mixed messages. The Quarter That Wasn't For the quarter RIM reported revenue of $2.8 billion, almost 10% below analyst estimates of $3.1 billion. The $2.8 figure represents a sequential drop of 33% and a decline of 43% from the same period of a year ago. While the company did ship almost eight million BlackBerry units, it is down 40% from the 13.2 million it shipped last year. Its PlayBook tablets are not exactly flying off the shelves either. For the quarter RIM only shipped out 260,000 units, a decline of almost 50% from the 500,000 sold last year during the same period. It is remarkable when one considers that Apple sells over one million iPads per week while it expects to sell approximately 30 million iPhones for quarter. From the standpoint of earnings per share, RIM logged a loss of $518 million representing 99 cents per share on a GAAP basis. In the same period of a year ago, it reported a net loss of $192 million. As far as the real numbers go, investors need only know this: It seems every quarter Apple is reporting profits in the area of $10 billion while RIM has reported a loss of over half a billion dollars. The story is clear and it does not appear that things are expected to get any better because RIM also expects an operating loss in the second quarter of fiscal 2013. The only question is, when will someone come in and put RIM out of its misery? Its challenge was to find new markets while preserving the monopoly it once had in the enterprise space. It simply could not do that.
I think it still has value to a company such as Facebook ( FB), which has been rumored to be considering developing a phone of its own. However, the more I think about it, the more it makes sense for Microsoft to come in and close the deal. With a RIM acquisition, Microsoft should consider investing another few hundreds of dollars per user towards RIM's larger subscriber base and offer replacement phones based on the Windows Mobile operating system. It can then retain the BlackBerry email service as well as the popular BBM messenger service. This has the potential to quadruple its Windows smartphone user base and instantly make it a power among the ranks of Apple and Google. Bottom Line As disappointing as the earnings results were for RIM, the bigger disappointment was the delay of the BlackBerry 10 smartphones. This showed just how sad the company has become where even its "top priority" can't leave the productions line. It might be a blessing in disguise -- who knows? The company did say it plans to reduce its jobs by 5,000 people, or 30% of its workforce, as a way to trim $1 billion in annual costs. It remains to be seen what results from this. However, with the stock now trading at $7 and with no meaningful sign of support, the next target has to be $5, which I discussed only a couple of weeks ago. I still see an acquisition happening before it reaches that level. I just hope that the company does not open its mouth and screw it up. This article is commentary by an independent contributor, separate from TheStreet's regular news coverage.