The Investment Case for Research In Motion as a 'Buy'

NEW YORK ( TheStreet) -- With all the hoopla about Apple's outsized iPhone sales and monster earnings, you could be forgiven for missing the news about northern competitor Research In Motion. For months, RIM has been kicked and beaten in the media, and investors have watched their shares tumble 70% from a year ago. There is little question about how painful it has been to own RIM.

I have examined RIM's situation and written about it extensively. While I was bearish up until early March, my opinion shifted and I started a long position in RIM when the price first broke below $13 a share. I didn't buy the stock directly; rather, I was shorting put options to gain premium. A put option gives the buyer the right to sell me shares at a set price within a set period of time. Selling put options is usually more conservative than buying the underlying stock outright and, with RIM falling as fast as it was, I did not want to attempt to be a hero catching that falling knife.

My opinion in March, which has not shifted significantly, is that RIM is worth at least $12.50 dead even in a relatively quick-and-dirty liquidation of company assets. RIM is currently far from closing its doors and vanishing, so some value must be added back in for blue sky. The "some" is the trick question because even RIM has lowered intangibles' valuations to the point of reporting non-cash losses.

It may be easy to lose sight of the fact that RIM has value and, in the end, what we try to do as investors is pay less than what the value is. An investor buying Apple shares during the open after the last earnings report now has a better understanding that cost is what you pay, but value is what you get. Is Apple worth more than $615 a share? Quite possibly, but it was emotion driving the price up from $560 to $615 overnight. It may be difficult to get emotionally excited about RIM when you hear the iPhone has become the No. 1 smartphone in Canada (RIM is based in Ontario, Canada), pushing aside BlackBerry. RIM is not likely to regain the top spot until 2013 if OS 10 doesn't arrive in the fall and impress enough to justify the delays and wait.

RIM is performing quite well outside of North America even if the news isn't hitting the front pages. Many tend to focus on the North American market, and it's understandable. Consumer brands like the iPhone and Coach bags have recently reported strong earnings in Asia, in particular China. I believe the Asian Pacific markets are increasingly more important to RIM's future.

RIM is late with OS 10 resulting in fewer choices in what RIM can market. The upside with selling older phones is they are fully paid for from a research-and-development point of view. RIM recently reported a new BlackBerry on sale in India.

India also tends to become lost in the non-stop conversation about China. It shouldn't be that way as India is the most populous democracy in the world and about to become the biggest market in the world. According to Reuters, the Curve 9220 went on sale in India last week and will soon be sold in other countries including Indonesia.

With 70%-plus of sales (and climbing) coming from outside Canada and the U.S., North America is fading in importance for results. A weak perception of RIM may drive the stock price lower, and a look at a price chart for RIM validates a weak prognosis. RIM is currently trading at $14.03. At the current price, investors can buy shares for only eight times expected earnings and only 6.4 times the past 12 months' earnings. This makes RIM a "buy," especially as a covered call. I like the idea of collecting option premium and lowering my overall risk at the same time. The downside to writing covered calls is if RIM receives a buyout offer. Some gains are likely to be left on the table, but, even so, RIM is likely to bounce higher with any news of a takeover or improvement with smartphone sales.

If you liked this article you might like

The #DigitalSkeptic Guide To Mobile Gadgets that Won't Break on You

The #DigitalSkeptic Guide To Mobile Gadgets that Won't Break on You

5 Telecommunications Stocks Nudging The Industry Higher

5 Telecommunications Stocks Nudging The Industry Higher

Research In Motion Ltd (RIMM): Today's Featured Telecommunications Laggard

Research In Motion Ltd (RIMM): Today's Featured Telecommunications Laggard

5 Stocks Pulling The Telecommunications Industry Downward

5 Stocks Pulling The Telecommunications Industry Downward

Research In Motion Ltd (RIMM): Today's Featured Telecommunications Laggard

Research In Motion Ltd (RIMM): Today's Featured Telecommunications Laggard