NZ Dollar Pares Loss As 4Q Current Account Deficit Narrowed

By Trang Nguyen,

THETAKEAWAY: NewZealand 4Q Current Account Deficit Narrowed More thanPredicted > TradedGoods Surplus Widened on Record High Level of Dairy Export > NZ DollarPares Loss

New Zealand’s current-account deficit unexpectedly narrowed in the final quarter of 2011 on record high level of dairy exports and decrease in foreign investors’ earnings. The fourth-quarter deficit shrank to $NZ2.763 billion from a revised $NZ4.751billion in the previous quarter, today’s report showed. The print exceeds consensus forecast of a $NZ2.825 billion shortfall from Bloomberg survey. Meanwhile, the annual current-account gap contracted to $NZ8.3 billion, equivalent to 4.0 percent of gross domestic product (GDP) in the October-December period compared with $8.8 billion, or 4.3 percent of GDP, in the previous three months.

New Zealand Quarterly Current Account: 2008 Q1 to Present

Prepared by Trang Nguyen

The current account iscomprised of transactions in goods and services,current transfers and investment income. New Zealand traded goodssurplus unexpectedly jumped to $NZ1.066 billion in the fourthquarter from $NZ0.523 billion in the third quarter. The jump wastriggered by record-high value of dairy exports that are resultedfrom higher output and weaker New Zealand dollar in final threemonths of last year. Besides, the services deficit narrowed by$ NZ84 million to $NZ199million on increased spending by overseas visitors for the RugbyWorld Cup. The income deficit fell $138 million to $2.8 billion inthe September-December period, mainly on lower dividends from NewZealand shares and profits earned by foreign investors.

NZDUSD 1-minute Chart: March 20, 2012

Charts createdusing Strategy Trader – Prepared byTrang Nguyen

New Zealand currency traded under pressure in early Asian trading session today, following a previous drop in the North American trade after the mining giant BHP Billiton warned of slowdown in China’s economy. In the minutes after the stronger-than-expected current account balance report, the kiwi, a nickname of New Zealand dollar, trim losses versus its major trading partners. As can be seen from the 1-minute NZDUSD chart above, the currency pair hiked approximately 11 pips from 0.8160 to 0.8171 within forty minutes. At the time this report was written, the kiwi saw some correction, traded at $0.8166.

--- Written by Trang Nguyen, DailyFX Research Team for DailyFX.com

Tocontact Trang, email tnguyen@dailyfx.com
DailyFX is the forex news and research arm of FXCM, Inc (NYSE: FXCM), which provides currency trading and brokerage services and is an advertiser on TheStreet websites. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, or other information is provided as general market commentary, and does not constitute investment advice. Dailyfx will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation to, any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information. Currency trading involves significant risk of loss. Individual authors may hold positions in the currencies discussed in the article.

Original Article: http://www.dailyfx.com/forex/market_alert/2012/03/20/032012_NZD_Current_Account_Balance_4Q.html

DailyFX is the forex news and research arm of FXCM (NYSE: FXCM), which provides currency trading and brokerage services and is an advertiser on TheStreet websites. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, or other information is provided as general market commentary, and does not constitute investment advice. Dailyfx will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation to, any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information. Currency trading involves significant risk of loss. Individual authors may hold positions in the currencies discussed in the article.

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