NEW YORK ( TheStreet ) -- If silver prices can sustain their recent rally, Fortuna Silver Mines ( FSM) is poised to deliver a knock-out punch. Fortuna is a little known silver company with two operating underground mines in Peru and Mexico and a killer growth rate. Silver production popped 31% in 2011 while gold production grew 174%. The miner is on track to produce 3.7 million ounces of silver and 17,000 ounces of gold this year, with production growing to 5 million ounces and 26,000 ounces, respectively by 2014 -- that is a double digit growth rate at a time when other miners like Newmont Mining ( NEM) are struggling to just replenish their reserve base. The company has no debt, working capital of $70 million and no plans to issue equity or raise cash -- unless it buys another exploration property and brings it into production, something it is actively pursuing. Before Fortuna catapults into a big time silver miner, it must overcome some big problems. First, no one knows about it. Average volume traded is well under 200,000. Fortuna's market cap is $844 million compared to other small silver producers like Silvercorp ( SVM), which has run into legal trouble over its operations in China and still has a market cap of more than $1 billion. CEO Jorge Ganoza hopes that the company's big growth profile and recent listing on the New York Stock Exchange ( NYSE) will help draw investors.
"We have a very concrete growth plan in terms of reserves," he says, "so the company is well poised to capitalize on all those opportunities, and it was the right time to list in New York and to increase our exposure to New York based institutions." The volatile silver price is also a mixed bag for the company's popularity. In 2011, shares of Fortuna were up up 15%, while silver was down 10%. This year the two have moved in tandem, with silver up 17% and Fortuna up 15%. The stock is able to decouple from the silver price if the company delivers killer growth, but it can also move with silver, leaving it susceptible to a correction if the precious metal sells off. Canaccord Genuity, which rates Fortuna as a speculative buy, recently lowered its 2012 silver price forecast to $33.50 from $40 an ounce with their peak silver price dropping from $40 to $35 an ounce.
"The industry is under a lot of inflation pressure," says Ganoza, who sees inflation particularly in services and labor. Ganoza is trying to implement measures to combat rising prices like producing dore bars, a semi-pure blend of gold and silver in bar form that is then transported for further refining, instead of selling gold and silver concentrate. This could cut down on costs saving the company around three quarters of a million dollars a month. There is also the threat that the more money Fortuna makes, the more they will have to hand over to the Peruvian government. Mining companies in Peru will now be taxed on their operating profits on a sliding scale basis by 1%-12% and must pay a windfall tax of 2%-8.4% on operating margins. This tax increase was actually considered a victory by the mining industry due to the fact that newly elected socialist leader, Ollanta Humala, didn't get more aggressive. Ganoza brushed off the tax, saying it was immaterial. "The net effect of this on our income tax in Peru is only 2% ... We think the new tax scheme that has been put in place in Peru is reasonable especially in the context of rising prices." Ganoza thinks that Peru will continue to focus on being a popular mining area and therefore not get overly aggressive with its taxes. For now it's Fortuna's growth profile that is attracting analysts. The stock currently has 5 buy ratings, 1 hold and 1 sell ratings, now the company hopes to attract investors. -- Written by Alix Steel in New York. >To contact the writer of this article, click here: Alix Steel.