NEW YORK ( TheStreet ) -- Gold prices were choppy Wednesday as the U.S. dollar clawed higher. Gold for February delivery was down $2.90 at $1,614.70 an ounce at the Comex division of the New York Mercantile Exchange. The gold price has traded as high as $1,643.70 and as low as $1,607.70 an ounce while the spot price was down $1.40, according to Kitco's gold index. Silver prices were down 21 cents at $29.32 an ounce while the U.S. dollar index was slightly higher at $79.85.
Gold prices lost steam as the U.S. dollar index traded around the $80 level, making gold more expensive to buy in other currencies. Gold had popped in Asia overnight and broke above its 200-day moving average around $1,620 an ounce, a key technical level, which gold broke below last week. Gold must close above that level to truly reassure traders and restore confidence in an up-trend. Confidence will no doubt be shaky as gold couldn't hold on to those gains. As gold popped to $1,643 an ounce, buy stops were most likely activated around that 200-day moving average, a predetermined level that traders buy. Profit taking was then seen as gold hit that intra-day high as investors locked in gains. Continued profit taking into year's end, a wobbly euro and any kind of dollar strength could provide short-term headwinds for gold. News hit Wednesday that European banks borrowed almost 500 billion euros from the European Central Bank to take advantage of the central bank's three year low interest loan.
At the end of the year there are not that many traders in place, so every little influence looks magnified." Joe Wickwire, equity analyst, portfolio manager at Fidelity Investments, disagrees and thinks the fundamentals for gold are intact regardless of recent price action. "Gold started to move up in 2001 and it was due to macroeconomic imbalances and a geopolitical tensions and a very favorable supply and demand profile. ... Every so often you get a pullback in the gold price and then you settle out and some of the weak hands liquidate." Wickwire points out that net long speculators have declined 40% since their August highs as of last Friday, which means that the majority of gold's 13% fall in September and 8% decline last week was primarily due to a shakeout of speculators rather than physical gold holders. "When the specs get shaken out they sell and that can put temporary price pressure on the gold price after selling is done ... Every time you have had something like this over the past 10 years ... it was more of a buying opportunity vs. a reason to capitulate." David Williams, director at Strategic Gold Corp., which buys and holds physical gold for investors, thinks that gold is getting ready for a big surge which will take prices to $3,000 an ounce by June. "I personally think we are on the way up again. There could be one more wave down on technicals but then it will move up very quickly." Williams thinks that the main catalyst will be inflation, that all the paper money that has been pumped into banks and held in their coffers will finally make its way into the system. "The moves that we are experiencing right now on the way up has to do with gold being viewed as a store of wealth," he says. "As people realize that's a better place to go with it then it will pop up." Gold mining stocks were choppy Wednesday. Kinross Gold ( KGC - Get Report) was down 1% at $11.74 while Yamana Gold ( AUY - Get Report) was climbing 0.88% at $62.61. Other gold stocks, Agnico-Eagle ( AEM - Get Report) and Eldorado Gold ( EGO - Get Report) were trading mixed at $37.14 and $13.76, respectively. Alix Steel in New York. >To contact the writer of this article, click here: Alix Steel.