The following commentary comes from an independent investor or market observer as part of TheStreet's guest contributor program, which is separate from the company's news coverage.NEW YORK ( fxtechstrategy.com) -- The euro-dollar currency pair (EUR-USD) is likely to move higher in the coming week after it decisively breached 1.3937, its Sept. 15 low. The 1.4283 level, EUR-USD's Sept. 6 high, is the next upside target. A violation of this level would set the stage for more strength toward 1.4342, the euro-dollar currency pair's daily falling trend line, and then 1.4550, its Aug. 29 high. The euro-dollar currency pair's weekly relative strength index (RSI) is bullish and pointing higher, suggesting further strength. On the downside, the risk to this analysis will be for EUR-USD to return below the 1.3913/1.3937 area. Those two levels are the Oct. 17 and Sept. 15 highs, respectively. Such a move would cancel the current bullish tone and bring further weakness toward the 1.3690/1.3650 area. A move below there would activate further declines toward the pair's Oct. 10 low at 1.3377 and then its October low at 1.3144 level. Overall, the euro-dollar currency pair retains a bullish tone and is likely to target 1.4283.