NEW YORK ( Trefis ) -- PepsiCo ( PEP) is the world's second largest carbonated soft drink manufacturer and the largest packaged foods product manufacturer. PepsiCo's beverage division competes with Coca-Cola ( KO) (NYSE: KO) in virtually all subsegments of the beverage market. PepsiCo is best known for its namesake cola brand as well as its Frito-Lay products (including Doritos and Cheetos). We estimate that Pepsi brand operations constitute about 7% of the company's stock value, while Frito-Lay products generate a more substantial 42%. Our price estimate for PepsiCo stock is $67.28, in line with market price. The company is now making a greater push into healthy food options, which could expand Gatorade, Tropicana and Quaker food operations, which account for a combined 31% of our price estimate. New distribution of healthy food products in China and a low-calorie fruit puree set to test U.S. markets could spark market share gains for the company. A new Gatorade product line expected for Spring 2011 could also advance the company's market penetration, as we've previously discussed. (See: PepsiCo's Gatorade Could Grow Market Share with G Series Fit)
Marketing Healthy Food Products in China
Pepsi has started to introduce a new line of healthy food options in China, where reports of chronic illnesses have been increasing. As consumers become more health-conscious, Pepsi and some of its competitors in the global packaged food market are introducing foods that include traditional Chinese folk medicine ingredients like wolfberry plants, chrysanthemum teas and tremella. Between 2005 and 2009 the wellness foods and beverages market in China increased by 28%, reaching $1.5 billion in 2009. Pepsi now plans to continue its expansion into China with a $2.5 billion investment over the next three years. In October last year, it launched Quaker Herbal Oatmealin flavors such as wolfberry and tremella, a fungus considered in China to have therapeutic properties.
New Low-Calorie Fruit Puree Snack
As a part of its strategy to penetrate the market for nutritious convenience foods, Pepsi will soon begin distributing an 80-calorie fruit puree called Tropolis (marketed as a snack rather than a beverage) in test markets through its Tropicana division. The new product could piggyback success of PepsiCo's Naked Juice smoothie line (for which a bottle typically contains 200 to 400 calories).