By Chuck LeBeau, director of analytics at SmartStops.netStocks in the oil services industry suffered more than most stocks in 2008 as they were hit by a falling stock market combined with an even sharper fall in oil prices. This "double whammy" knocked Schlumberger ( SLB) from a July 2008 high of $111.05. After triggering an important SmartStops.net sell alert at $94.53 the stock continued on down to a low of $35.05 in February. However SLB has already recovered to above $40, up 17% from the February low. In the meantime optimistic option players have been loading up on thousands of SLB call options at the $50 strike price. The current SmartStops.net sell alert on SLB would be triggered if the price reached $37.47. Halliburton ( HAL)one of the world's largest providers of products and services to the energy industry, fell from a July 08 high of $55.38 to a November low of only $13.46. (A protective SmartStops.net sell alert occurred at $45.46.) Halliburton recovered to above $20 in February but then weakened and triggered a recent SmartStops sell alert at $16.61 and is now trading below $16 and appears to be headed lower.
If the world economy recovers then oil prices would be expected to recover and the oil services stocks would be benefitting from both a recovering stock market and a recovery in oil prices. However under present circumstances the demand for oil rigs and services is down and is expected to be weak through at least the second quarter. Oil prices might also benefit if there were any prolonged weakness in the U.S. dollar as a result of massive amounts of deficit spending. Other oil service companies include Baker Hughes ( BH), Nabors Industries ( NBR), Patterson- UTI Energy ( PTEN), and Weatherford International ( WFT).Note: SmartStop alert prices change daily. For up to date daily alerts visit www.SmartStops.net.