The presidential primary races have been going on for more than a year. Anyone who thought Super Tuesday on Feb. 5 would decide the race for delegates was mistaken. The races are too close to call a clear winner.But Super Tuesday -- when 22 states will have either a caucus or a primary equaling about half the delegates -- will provide something that has been lacking in this race: the decisive momentum needed to win the nomination.
Clinton leads by 20 points in the polls in Florida. A win there would stop some of Obama's momentum. In addition, the Democrats plan to debate one more time in California, where Clinton has consistently
outperformed Obama. According to pollster.com, Clinton also maintains a steady advantage in national polls of almost 10%. Several large states will have primaries on Super Tuesday, including California, Massachusetts, Illinois, New Jersey and New York. Aside from Obama's home state of Illinois, these states all favor Clinton by double digits in the latest polls and have a massive number of delegates to award. I think the race will be won or lost in those states on Super Tuesday. If Clinton can maintain those margins, the race will begin to change dramatically. Party elites will call for Party unity. The leaders of the Party understand they will require a united party to beat any Republican challenger -- no race is a lock to win. As I mentioned last week, Clinton holds the lead among endorsements from the party elites, or superdelegates. Superdelegates represent elected officials and Party officials (this only applies to the Democratic Party) who would have a vote at the convention. The superdelegate vote has never come into play, nor would the Party want it to decide an election. It would be undemocratic. I predict the nominees will not be decided in name on Super Tuesday, but in reality the momentum of the big day will solidify a candidate to win the nomination.