An open letter to John Fout, TheStreet.com's Political Correspondent.
Hey John -- great article on Hillary Clinton. And the points you make are all true. She's a formidable candidate. She has a big lead in the opinion polls. And the Clintons know how to play hardball. Yes, she could be our next president. But I'm still standing my ground . At this stage in the race, 50-50 odds on her winning the White House are crazy. John -- don't take that bet. You work hard for your money. And those are terrible, terrible odds. Hillary may look and sound "inevitable" right now, but there are a lot of ways in which she can lose this race. Two words: bimbo eruptions. I hate to bring this up, but we have to look at politics as it is, not as it should be. And a personal scandal can destroy a campaign. Maybe Hillary's husband won't embarrass her again. Maybe he's behaving himself. But then again, maybe he isn't. I have no idea. All I know is that I wouldn't want to bet on it -- and if I did, you'd have to offer me a lot better odds than evens. She gets outflanked by an antiwar candidate. Remember what happened to the "inevitable" Democratic front-runners during the last unpopular war? Back in '68 and '72, the party establishment lined up behind President Lyndon Johnson and Senator Ed Muskie. Both times the grassroots revolted. The base moved to the left and embraced antiwar insurgent candidates instead.