While politicians and pundits have been jabbering on about how good the new tax law will be for investors, financial planners are more circumspect, cautioning against many knee-jerk changes.Tax law rarely prompts a radical shift in investing behavior. In 1997, when President Clinton eliminated all tax on home sale profits up to $500,000, alarmists predicted the housing market would collapse. But instead of dumping their homes and stuffing their tax-free profits into gold bullion or high-tech stocks, wealthy homeowners actually took their tax-free profits and ... bought bigger homes. Instead of collapsing, the housing market continued to flourish. So it's unlikely that we'll see sweeping sea changes in how investors, well, invest. But that hasn't stemmed the tide of speculation and dubious advice as to how investors should deploy their assets. Conventional wisdom dictates that investors hold the least tax-advantaged securities in the most tax-advantaged vehicles. That's why, historically, individual stocks were usually better held in taxable accounts, where they'd be subject to the 20% capital gains rate, while dividend-paying stocks and funds were better off in tax-advantaged accounts such as IRAs and 401(k)s, where the dividends would escape tax until the money was withdrawn. But while it seems like the new, low 15% tax on capital gains and dividend payouts is cause for an allocation overhaul, don't make any rash decisions. "If you had a reasoned asset allocation three weeks ago, chances are it will still work for you," says Glen Clemans, a financial planner in Portland, Ore. "First and foremost, you need to know your investment objectives. Tax considerations come behind that." In other words, your portfolio allocation should be determined by your risk tolerance and time horizon -- not taxes. So if you've decided that your overall portfolio should be 30% bonds, there's no reason to move you're entire 401(k) into bonds. (Unless, of course, your 401(k) is 30% of your overall portfolio.)
"We've looked at this issue several ways," says Alan Cohen, a financial planner with Sage Financial in Bala Cynwyd, Pa. "And most people probably shouldn't move their money around as a result of this tax law." There may be some merit to allocation swapping. If you currently have a chunk of money in a bond fund in a taxable account, it might pay to sell that fund and repurchase a similar fund in your 401(k) or IRA. (If selling will incur a loss, though, don't purchase the same exact fund within 30 days, or you won't be able to claim a deduction for that loss, as per the dreaded
wash-sale rule.) Likewise, it might pay to keep dividend-paying stocks (or stocks you plan to sell long before you start making withdrawals) in a taxable account, rather than in a retirement account. (Because you're not allowed to ever claim a loss on a security sold inside of a tax-advantaged account, there's nothing to trigger the wash-sale rule -- so you can do so and repurchase the same exact fund or stock within 30 days.) But before you start a frenzy of buying and selling, know that there's more than the wash-sale rule to keep in mind. First, consider why you have those bond funds in a taxable account -- and not your IRA or 401(k) -- to begin with. "Typically, people want more liquid investments outside their retirement plans," Cohen says. "Bond funds are often for shorter-term needs, and if that's the case, they're better held in taxable accounts." Given the restrictions on how and when distributions from retirement plans can be made, taxable accounts are generally the best route for short-term savings. Also, your options are far more limited in a 401(k) plan than in a taxable account. If your employer's plan doesn't offer a good, low-cost, broad-market bond fund, it's unlikely that the tax deferral will make switching worth your while. Being tax savvy can't make up for a poorly managed fund.