The housing market hit a milestone last week, although you’re more likely to see soot falling from the sky than confetti.
That’s because we’re still seeing the fallout from the foreclosure explosion of 2008 and 2009. In fact, the first data from 2010 shows that 10% of U.S. homeowners are delinquent on their mortgages – and that should mean even more foreclosures down the road.
According to a study by Lender Processing Services, 7.2 million home loans in the U.S. are delinquent. The worst offenders seem to be homeowners with bigger mortgages. The LPS data shows that loans with a principal balance of between $417,000 and $600,000 are at the top of the list of delinquent loans. That suggests the bloodletting from the sub-prime mortgage market has spilled over into the high-end mainstream mortgage market.
That’s the painful backdrop for mortgage rates this week.
With unemployment around 10% and millions of Americans behind on their house payments, the economy continues to struggle. When the economy is sputtering, mortgage rates tend to remain low, as the Federal Reserve tends to keep a lid on rates in an effort to keep credit flowing and generate more financial activity stemming from low-interest loans.
Right now, with U.S. consumers not spending money, discouraged about their financial futures and struggling to even make mortgage payments, it’s not exactly an environment for economic growth and the Federal Reserve knows it. That’s why, even though rates did bump up slightly last week, interest rates are low right now.
Here are the numbers from the first week of February, as measured by the BankingMyWay Weekly Mortgage Rate Tracker:
Description This Week Last Week
One-Year ARM 4.09% 4.18%
Three-Year ARM 4.44% 4.14%
Five-Year ARM 4.34% 4.2%
15-Year Mortgage 4.54% 4.53%
30-Year Mortgage 5.11% 5.1%
The good news, and there is some, is that home sales are showing signs of improvement. The National Association of Realtors shows a 1% uptick in home sales in December 2009. Mortgage applications for January were up, as well. The Mortgage Bankers Association shows a 7.6% rise in new home applications over the course of the past four weeks.
While these are encouraging signs, they might not be enough to shift the momentum back toward a stronger housing market and a healthier economy. So expect rates to remain low for the rest of the month, then we’ll see what impact the Federal Reserve’s pullback in March from the mortgage securities market has on mortgage rates.
In the meantime, you can still get a great mortgage deal. Shop around to find the best mortgage rates at BankingMyWay’s Mortgage Rate Search.