The stage is set for higher certificate of deposit rates — even if it didn’t happened last week. Why the slow trigger?
Most likely, banks haven’t caught up with the reality of a rising interest rate market, but they will soon. That reality lies in a combination of factors: an improving economy, inflation potential and an increasingly competitive rate environment triggered by higher Treasury rates.
That last factor may be the biggest reason that CD rates are destined to bump upward — and soon. Ten-year Treasuries finally hit a closely-watched benchmark on Monday, with interest rates rising above the 4% level. That should attract more attention from investors, especially this week as the U.S. Treasury Department has four Treasury auctions totaling $82 billion.
Treasury notes haven’t hit 4% since October 2008. Economists view this scenario as a good piece of economic news, since rising Treasury rates historically signal a strengthening economy. Reinforcing that notion was a positive jobs report last Friday, with the U.S. Labor Department reporting a net-plus 162,000 jobs in March — the first time in two years that the U.S. hasn’t actually lost jobs.
Another clue that bank deposit rates may be on the rise — an 8.2% upswing in pending homes sales in February. A stronger housing market is a potentially huge sign that the U.S. economy is on the mend, as more homebuyers stop kicking tires and start writing checks. That’s a sign that the vaunted U.S. consumer is growing more confident, albeit incrementally, about the U.S. economy.
Just like last week, CD rates are slow off the draw, given the positive economic news. But it’s only a matter of time; in other words a “when” and not “if” scenario. Right now, here are the current numbers, as measured by the BankingMyWay Weekly CD Rate Tracker.
Description This Week Last Week
60-Month CD 2.114% 2.125%
48-Month CD 1.81% 1.815%
24-Month CD 1.24% 1.254%
12-Month CD 0.78% 0.799%
Six-Month CD 0.52% 0.532%
Three-Month CD 0.336% 0.345%
As Treasury notes rise, and the employment and housing sectors regain their health, look for more banks to wake up and get more competitive with CD rate deals. In growing economies, investors usually head to the higher-risk but higher-reward stock market. With demand lowered for CDs, banks have to step up to the plate and offer higher interest rates.
That hasn’t happened yet, but all signs indicate it will any week now. To uncover the top deals, visit the BankingMyWay CD Rate Search Tracker.
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