Miserable market; miserable weather. I am seeing lots of put-buying and tons of call-selling.
To me that makes sense if you are beleaguered. That's what happens. People capitulate. People sell. People try to profit from the decline. When the gloom gets too thick, you will see a snapback rally because there are some good things happening. The dollar is stronger, not weaker; bonds are OK; oil isn't going nuts.
The only thing wrong is the weather. And some sort of cautionary call about the server division of
, which I am taking to be pure rumor, but people are taking tons of action on it.
What are we doing? Nothing. You take
to 130 on this HWP thing, we buy. You take
down 5 and we buy more.
at 80, and we are buying.
What are we selling? We sold a little
, pared some IBM up higher (yes, trying to trade around these behemoths), and attempted to buy puts on Hewlett-Packard, but couldn't because it dropped too fast. And we sold 5000
that we bought at the bell yesterday because we feared that Sun would get hurt by collateral damage, even though we think the damage is being
by Sun's strength.
Feels like a do-over day. Already.
is proving a painful lesson for those who buy stocks when it is announced they will be in the
. This one got walloped before it got in, as the
deal was delayed. I bet you lose every dollar you may have made in this strategy all year after a blow-up like this...One day I hope we will have boards up immediately on stocks like
where we can help each other figure out whether it is a buy or a sell. Right now I have no idea.
James J. Cramer is manager of a hedge fund and co-founder of TheStreet.com. At time of publication, his fund was long IBM, Intel, Nokia, Yahoo! and Sun Microsystems. His fund often buys and sells securities that are the subject of his columns, both before and after the columns are published, and the positions that his fund takes may change at any time. Under no circumstances does the information in this column represent a recommendation to buy or sell stocks. Cramer's writings provide insights into the dynamics of money management and are not a solicitation for transactions. While he cannot provide investment advice or recommendations, he invites you to comment on his column at