This allegation may incite a riot:
is only worth $2 a share.
That's the opinion of Charles Ortel, managing director of Newport Value Partners, who told
that he thinks GE is overpriced at $11 because of its massive $470 billion debt load vs $2.8 billion of tangible common equity.
Funny how that phrase -- tangible common equity -- keeps making the rounds these days. It's basically a measure of a bank's ability to remain solvent. So why is Ortel applying TCE to GE? That's simple, he thinks GE is more like a bank than an industrial conglomerate these days due to its GE Capital unit.
GE Capital is, in fact, among the beneficiaries of our government's banking bailout largesse.
So combining the impact of the financial crisis on GE Capital and the collateral damage to the industrial side of GE's operations as the global economy slowed to a crawl and you've got a recipe for more share price erosion.
True believers in GE, those who've suffered the dividend cut and forgiven CEO Jeff Immelt for that insult, will not like hearing what Ortel has to say.
But he's just one bear. The average expectation among analysts is that GE shares are worth about $14-$15 and only 1 of 13 analysts suggests selling the stock at this point, according to TheStreet.com's
analyst ratings data.
Most analysts think you should hold the stock and a few adventurous souls even say you should buy it right now.
Clearly Ortel is off the deep end with this call. He's essentially saying GE is worth less than
, which have all of financial services liabilities and none of GE's actual production.
Come on, Ortel, GE actually makes things. That counts for something.
So maybe you can safely ignore this renegade bear named Ortel.
Just remember the immortal words of Clint Eastwood as Dirty Harry:
You've got to ask yourself one question: Do I feel lucky?"
Well do ya?
Glenn Hall is the editor of
. Previously, he served as deputy editor and chief innovation officer at
The Orange County Register
and as a news manager at
in Frankfurt, Amsterdam and Washington, D.C. As a reporter, he covered business and financial markets, worked in both print and television in the U.S. and Europe, and conducted in-depth investigative coverage at
in Fort Wayne, Ind. His work also has been published in a variety of newspapers including
The Wall Street Journal
The New York Times
International Herald Tribune
. Hall received a bachelor's degree in journalism and political science from The Ohio State University and a certificate in project and program management from Boston University.